Uncover all the insights for the staking market for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova fixture for the U.S. Open – New York 2025 on the September 3, 2025, in this preview below. Find out the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova picks, betting tips & odds markets for this game in the our preview beneath.
Who The Odds Predict: Aryna Sabalenka to secure the win
- Implied via the bookies odds, Aryna Sabalenka is favored to get the victory in this game with a 65.98% probability to win. Is this accurate? We think so, due to Bookmakers produce sharp predictions:
Aryna Sabalenka → 1.48
Marketa Vondrousova → 2.87Prediction Chance Of Win Aryna Sabalenka 65.98 % Marketa Vondrousova 34.02 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.
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H2H-Based Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka to triumph
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 5 |
| Marketa Vondrousova | 4 |
Head-2-Head: Aryna Sabalenka (5 – 4) Marketa Vondrousova.
Aryna Sabalenka to win. What’s the reasoning? Over the last 9 H2H encounters between these players, Aryna Sabalenka is winning 5 – 4. Our H2H data starts from the encounter between them in 2017. This indicates that Aryna Sabalenka should prevail in this scheduled clash. The last match happened on the Sat, 09 Aug 25, when Aryna Sabalenka achieved a 7-6 – 5-1 victory.
Marketa Vondrousova has never got the victory against Aryna Sabalenka indicating they have little chance.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Evenly matched
Examining team momentum heading into this match, Aryna Sabalenka secured victory against Cristina Bucsa with a result of 6-6/1-4. Marketa Vondrousova won against Elena Rybakina with a score of 6-5-6/4-7-2. Aryna Sabalenka have got the victory in 7 of their last 10 fixtures vs all teams, whereas Marketa Vondrousova prevailed in 7 of their recent 10 matches against all teams, indicating maybe this match is too close to call.
Recent Form Prediction: Close to call
- Aryna Sabalenka has won 8 of the last 10 matches played, while Marketa Vondrousova has secured 7 victories over the same range.
- Aryna Sabalenka has been winning 40% of their own second serve points, and 48% of their opponents, while Marketa Vondrousova has won 41% of their second serve points and 52% of their opponents.
- Aryna Sabalenka comes into this match having won a 1 hour 13 min battle vs Cristina Bucsa in which he managed to win 42% of return points (107/254), hitting 16 aces himself during the match.
- Marketa Vondrousova comes into this match having won a 1 hour 51 min battle vs Elena Rybakina in which he managed to win 46% of return points (142/310), hitting 27 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Aryna Sabalenka has been holding serve 95% of the time (37/39), while Marketa Vondrousova has held their serve 76% of the time (35/46.
Career Performance Prediction: Close to call
- Aryna Sabalenka has a career high ranking of 1, while Marketa Vondrousova has a career high rank of 60.
- Aryna Sabalenka has claimed 26 Career titles and career earnings of $3,20,11,103, versus 11 trophies for Marketa Vondrousova and $89,53,071 prize money.
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 57% deciding set win % (74/130), compared to 47% for Marketa Vondrousova (28/59)
- The 1st serve of Aryna Sabalenka has resulted in her winning 60% of points, and Marketa Vondrousova has won 59% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 48% for Aryna Sabalenka and 47% for Marketa Vondrousova.
- After losing the first set, Aryna Sabalenka manages to turn the match around and win it 33% of the time, and Marketa Vondrousova has a 26% record in eventually winning the match.
