Access all the facts around staking market for the Marco Trungelliti vs Jan Choinski fixture for the Troyes Challenger 2025 on the July 5, 2025, in the following analysis. We reveal the Marco Trungelliti vs Jan Choinski picks, betting tips & odds markets for this match in the our analysis below.
Odds-Based Prediction: Jan Choinski to come out on top
- Derived via the sportsbook odds, Jan Choinski is the favorite to come out on top in this match with a 50.94% probability to win. Is this a reliable prediction? We think so, because Bookmakers are rarely wrong:
Marco Trungelliti → 1.90
Jan Choinski → 1.83Prediction Chance Of Win Marco Trungelliti 49.06 % Jan Choinski 50.94 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.
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Prediction Based On H2H: Marco Trungelliti to win
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | 1 |
| Jan Choinski | 0 |
Head-2-Head: Marco Trungelliti (1 – 0) Jan Choinski.
Marco Trungelliti to win. What’s the reasoning? For the most recent 1 direct matches between these players, Marco Trungelliti is ahead 1 – 0. Our H2H data goes back to the fixture they had in 2025. This suggests that Marco Trungelliti is likely to prevail in this upcoming match. The latest game was on the Mon, 02 Jun 25, when Jan Choinski got a 6(6)-6-2 – 7-0-6 win.
Jan Choinski has never got the win Vs Marco Trungelliti suggesting they have little chance.
Current Form Prediction: Marco Trungelliti to get the victory
Examining current performance heading into this fixture, Marco Trungelliti secured victory against Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo with a score of 7-6/6(4)-4. Jan Choinski secured victory versus Harold Mayot with a result of 6-6/2-3. Marco Trungelliti have prevailed in 8 of their recent 10 matches vs all teams, whereas Jan Choinski got the victory in 7 of their recent 10 fixtures in all competitions, indicating perhaps Marco Trungelliti is in better shape heading into this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Marco Trungelliti
- Marco Trungelliti has won 8 of the last 10 matches played, while Jan Choinski has secured 7 victories over the same range.
- Marco Trungelliti has been winning 43% of their own second serve points, and 47% of their opponents, while Jan Choinski has won 46% of their second serve points and 43% of their opponents.
- Marco Trungelliti comes into this match having won a 2 hours 19 min battle vs Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo in which he managed to win 47% of return points (132/278), hitting 5 aces himself during the match.
- Jan Choinski comes into this match having won a 1 hour 43 min battle vs Harold Mayot in which he managed to win 45% of return points (92/204), hitting 10 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Marco Trungelliti has been holding serve 71% of the time (27/38), while Jan Choinski has held their serve 90% of the time (26/29.
Career Performance Prediction: Marco Trungelliti
- Marco Trungelliti has a career high ranking of 149, while Jan Choinski has a career high rank of 200.
- Marco Trungelliti has claimed 13 Career titles and career earnings of $11,62,553, versus 14 trophies for Jan Choinski and $2,85,015 prize money.
- Marco Trungelliti has a 64% deciding set win % (178/278), compared to 55% for Jan Choinski (60/109)
- The 1st serve of Marco Trungelliti has resulted in him winning 57% of points, and Jan Choinski has won 64% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 49% for Marco Trungelliti and 52% for Jan Choinski.
- After losing the first set, Marco Trungelliti manages to turn the match around and win it 31% of the time, and Jan Choinski has a 22% record in eventually winning the match.
