Elias Ymer and Denis Shapovalov Prediction Head To Head Summary
Ymer vs Shapovalov Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Shapovalov has a 78.74% chance to win this match.
Ymer → 4.29. Shapovalov → 1.27.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Ymer vs Shapovalov Upcoming Match Details:
Ymer will play Shapovalov on I.hard court in the Quarterfinals at the ATP BNP Paribas Nordic Open event in Stockholm Men’s Singles 2025 on 17th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Ymer 0-0 Shapovalov
The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Ymer comes into this match with a ranking of 243 , while Shapovalov is ranked 23.
Ymer vs Shapovalov Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Shapovalov has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Ymer has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Shapovalov has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Ymer has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Shapovalov has been saving 51% of his breakpoints, and Ymer has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Shapovalov performs best on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 83/50) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 25/27). Ymer performs best on Clay, winning 59% (W/L 241/168), and performs worse on Hard, winning 46% (W/L 88/103).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Denis Shapovalov has converted 37% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Elias Ymer has converted 35% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Elias Ymer played Jacob Fearnley in the Second round at the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm and won 6-2 6-2 in 01:15:24 . Denis Shapovalov played Leo Borg in the Second round at the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm and won 6-2 5-7 6-1 in 02:08:33.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Ymer Vs Shapovalov
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Ymer has won 13 titles in his career, while Denis Shapovalov has won 13 events. Ymer has won 50% (52445 of 104568) of points played in his entire career, and Shapovalov has achieved 51% (42733 of 83863). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Ymer has won 46% of tie breaks in his entire career (125 of 270), whereas Denis Shapovalov has won 50% (128 of 257). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Denis Shapovalov has an 81.34% probability of winning this match.
Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalov Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Denis Shapovalov To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Elias Ymer has a 18.66% chance of winning and Denis Shapovalov has a 81.34% chance of taking the victory. We tip Shapovalov to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Elias Ymer
- Ymer vs Ruud H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Ymer vs Korda H2H, could play in The Semifinals
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Denis Shapovalov
- Shapovalov vs Ruud H2H, could play in The Semifinals
- Shapovalov vs Korda H2H, could play in The Semifinals
