Elias Ymer vs Luciano Darderi Prediction – ATP Nordea Open – 16th July 2025 Best Bets

Elias Ymer and Luciano Darderi Prediction Head To Head Summary

Ymer vs Darderi Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Darderi has a 65.36% chance to win this match.

Ymer → 2.61. Darderi → 1.53.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Ymer vs Darderi Upcoming Match Details:

Ymer will play Darderi on Clay court in the Second round at the ATP Nordea Open event in Bastad Men’s Singles 2025 on 16th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Ymer 0-0 Darderi

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Ymer comes into this match with a ranking of 264 , while Darderi is ranked 55.

Ymer vs Darderi Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Darderi has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Ymer has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Darderi has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Ymer has won 27%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Darderi has been saving 60% of his breakpoints, and Ymer has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Darderi performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 169/98) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 17% (W/L 1/5). Ymer performs best on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 240/160), and performs worse on Hard, winning 46% (W/L 86/101).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Luciano Darderi has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Elias Ymer has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Elias Ymer played Tristan Boyer in the First round at the Nordea Open – Bastad and won 6-3 3-6 6-2 in 02:14:35 . Luciano Darderi played Raphael Collignon in the First round at the Nordea Open – Bastad and won 6-2 2-6 6-2 in 02:09:52.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Elias Ymer and Luciano Darderi

Of their last 10 matches played, Ymer has won 6, while Darderi has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Ymer has won 45% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 242.27 , while Darderi has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 169.71.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Ymer Vs Darderi

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Ymer has won 13 titles in his career, while Luciano Darderi has won 7 events. Ymer has won 50% (51418 of 102445) of points played in his entire career, and Darderi has achieved 51% (24372 of 47516). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Ymer has won 46% of tie breaks in his entire career (121 of 264), whereas Luciano Darderi has won 51% (53 of 103). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Luciano Darderi has an 52.14% probability of winning this match.

Elias Ymer vs Luciano Darderi Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Luciano Darderi To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Elias Ymer has a 47.86% chance of winning and Luciano Darderi has a 52.14% chance of taking the victory. We tip Darderi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Nordea Open – Bastad, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Elias Ymer

• Dzumhur vs Ymer H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Gaston vs Ymer H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Navone vs Ymer H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Cerundolo vs Ymer H2H () , could play in The Semifinals
• Kjaer vs Ymer H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Baez vs Ymer H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Luciano Darderi

• Dzumhur vs Darderi H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Gaston vs Darderi H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Navone vs Darderi H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Cerundolo vs Darderi H2H (undefined), could play in The Semifinals
• Kjaer vs Darderi H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Baez vs Darderi H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals