Adam Walton vs Hugo Gaston Prediction – ATP – 11th March 2025 Best Bets

Adam Walton and Hugo Gaston Prediction Head To Head Summary

Walton vs Gaston Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Walton has a 54.7% win this match.

Walton → 1.65. Gaston → 2.17.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Walton vs Gaston Upcoming Match Details:

Walton will play Gaston on Hard court in the First round at the ATP Phoenix Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 11th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Walton 0-0 Gaston

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Walton comes into this match with a ranking of 96 , while Gaston is ranked 93.

Walton vs Gaston Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Gaston has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Walton has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Gaston has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Walton has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Gaston has been saving 50% of his breakpoints, and Walton has saved 55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Gaston performs best on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 131/82) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 44% (W/L 7/9). Walton performs best on Hard, winning 68% (W/L 170/80), and performs worse on Clay, winning 33% (W/L 2/4).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Hugo Gaston has converted 35% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Adam Walton has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Adam Walton played Denis Shapovalov in the Second round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and lost 6-3 6-2 in 01:16:47 . Hugo Gaston played Hubert Hurkacz in the Second round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and lost 7-5 6-3 in 01:29:12.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Adam Walton and Hugo Gaston

Of their last 10 matches played, Walton has won 7, while Gaston has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Walton has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points , while Gaston has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Walton Vs Gaston

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Walton has won 9 titles in his career, while Hugo Gaston has won 8 events. Walton has won 52% (18480 of 35373) of points played in his entire career, and Gaston has achieved 50% (30059 of 59732). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Walton has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (52 of 98), whereas Hugo Gaston has won 59% (82 of 140). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Adam Walton has an 54.7% probability of winning this match.

Adam Walton vs Hugo Gaston Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Adam Walton To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Adam Walton has a 54.7% chance of winning and Hugo Gaston has a 45.3% chance of taking the victory. We tip Walton to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Adam Walton vs Hugo Gaston

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Phoenix Challenger, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Adam Walton

• Walton vs Struff H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Walton vs Fonseca H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Walton vs Kotov H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Opelka vs Walton H2H (0-0) , could play in The Second round
• Rinderknech vs Walton H2H (2-0) , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Hugo Gaston

• Gaston vs Struff H2H (2-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Gaston vs Fonseca H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Gaston vs Kotov H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Opelka vs Gaston H2H (0-0) , could play in The Second round
• Rinderknech vs Gaston H2H (1-2) , could play in The Second round