Learner Tien vs Reilly Opelka Prediction – ATP National Bank Open – 1st August 2025 Best Bets

Learner Tien and Reilly Opelka Prediction Head To Head Summary

Tien vs Opelka Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Opelka has a 58.14% chance to win this match.

Tien → 1.72. Opelka → 2.29.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Tien vs Opelka Upcoming Match Details:

Tien will play Opelka on Hard court in the Third round at the ATP National Bank Open event in Toronto Men’s Singles 2025 on 1st August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Tien 1-0 Opelka

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Tien comes into this match with a ranking of 61 , while Opelka is ranked 74.

Tien vs Opelka Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Opelka has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Tien has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Opelka has won 18% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Tien has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 40% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Opelka has been saving 65% of his breakpoints, and Tien has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Opelka performs best on I.hard, winning 67% (W/L 46/23) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 46% (W/L 17/20). Tien performs best on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 96/30), and performs worse on Clay, winning 35% (W/L 6/11).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Reilly Opelka has converted 23% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Learner Tien has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Learner Tien played Denis Shapovalov in the Second round at the National Bank Open – Toronto and won 7-6(4) 7-5 in 01:34:42 . Reilly Opelka played Tomas Machac in the Second round at the National Bank Open – Toronto and won 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-3 in 02:20:38.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Learner Tien and Reilly Opelka

Of their last 10 matches played, Tien has won 7, while Opelka has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Tien has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 370.38 , while Opelka has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 28% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 69.6.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Tien Vs Opelka

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Tien has won 10 titles in his career, while Reilly Opelka has won 8 events. Tien has won 52% (13508 of 26174) of points played in his entire career, and Opelka has achieved 50% (29803 of 59644). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Tien has won 62% of tie breaks in his entire career (44 of 71), whereas Reilly Opelka has won 54% (189 of 350). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Reilly Opelka has an 54.27% probability of winning this match.

Learner Tien vs Reilly Opelka Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Reilly Opelka To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Learner Tien has a 45.73% chance of winning and Reilly Opelka has a 54.27% chance of taking the victory. We tip Opelka to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the National Bank Open – Toronto, go here.