Lulu Sun vs Varvara Gracheva Prediction – WTA Mutua Madrid Open – 22nd April 2025 Best Bets

Lulu Sun and Varvara Gracheva Prediction Head To Head Summary

Sun vs Gracheva Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Gracheva has a 52.63% chance to win this match.

Sun → 1.9. Gracheva → 1.9.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Sun vs Gracheva Upcoming Match Details:

Sun will play Gracheva on Clay court in the First round at the WTA Mutua Madrid Open event in Madrid Women’s Singles 2025 on 22nd April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Sun 0-1 Gracheva

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Sun comes into this match with a ranking of 45 , while Gracheva is ranked 66.

Sun vs Gracheva Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Gracheva has won 41% of points on his second serve, while Sun has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Gracheva has won 33% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Sun has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 49% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Gracheva has been saving 49% of his breakpoints, and Sun has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Gracheva performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 144/76) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 36% (W/L 4/7). Sun performs best on Grass, winning 66% (W/L 19/10), and performs worse on Clay, winning 55% (W/L 44/36).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Varvara Gracheva has converted 39% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Lulu Sun has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Lulu Sun played Mayar Sherif in the First round at the Miami Open – Miami and lost 7-5 1-6 6-4 in 02:18:12 . Varvara Gracheva played Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Second round at the Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole – Rouen and lost 6-3 6-3 in 01:22:06.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Lulu Sun and Varvara Gracheva

Of their last 10 matches played, Sun has won 3, while Gracheva has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Sun has won 46% of her own 2nd serve points and 48% of return points , while Gracheva has won 51% of her own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Sun Vs Gracheva

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Sun has won 7 titles in her career, while Varvara Gracheva has won 7 events. Sun has won 52% (21906 of 42315) of points played in her entire career, and Gracheva has achieved 51% (30610 of 60177). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Sun has won 54% of tie breaks in his entire career (37 of 68), whereas Varvara Gracheva has won 54% (48 of 89). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Varvara Gracheva has an 54.49% probability of winning this match.

Lulu Sun vs Varvara Gracheva Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Varvara Gracheva To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Lulu Sun has a 45.51% chance of winning and Varvara Gracheva has a 54.49% chance of taking the victory. We tip Gracheva to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid, go here.