Sloane Stephens vs Sofia Kenin Prediction – WTA Indian Wells – 5th March 2025 Best Bets

Sloane Stephens and Sofia Kenin Prediction Head To Head Summary

Stephens vs Kenin Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Kenin has a 83.9% win this match.

Stephens → 3.43. Kenin → 1.36.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Stephens vs Kenin Upcoming Match Details:

Stephens will play Kenin on Hard court in the First round at the WTA BNP Paribas Open event in Indian Wells Women’s Singles 2025 on 5th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Stephens 1-1 Kenin

The current Head to Head score is 1-1. Stephens comes into this match with a ranking of 119 , while Kenin is ranked 47.

Stephens vs Kenin Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Kenin has won 41% of points on his second serve, while Stephens has won 38% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Kenin has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Stephens has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 47% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Kenin has been saving 55% of his breakpoints, and Stephens has saved 52% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Kenin performs best on Grass, winning 62% (W/L 21/13) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 16/14). Stephens performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 129/75), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 52% (W/L 15/14).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Sofia Kenin has converted 37% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sloane Stephens has converted 50% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Sloane Stephens played Petra Martic in the First round at the Merida Open Akron – Merida and lost 6-2 6-3 in 01:27:23 . Sofia Kenin played Elena Rybakina in the Quarterfinals at the Dubai Duty Free Championships – Dubai and lost 6-2 7-6(2) in 01:25:41.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Sloane Stephens and Sofia Kenin

Of their last 10 matches played, Stephens has won 0, while Kenin has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Stephens has won 47% of her own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points , while Kenin has won 45% of her own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Stephens Vs Kenin

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Stephens has won 10 titles in her career, while Sofia Kenin has won 10 events. Stephens has won 50% (42016 of 83236) of points played in her entire career, and Kenin has achieved 51% (31803 of 62891). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Stephens has won 58% of tie breaks in his entire career (77 of 132), whereas Sofia Kenin has won 49% (64 of 130). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Sofia Kenin has an 83.9% probability of winning this match.

Sloane Stephens vs Sofia Kenin Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Sofia Kenin To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sloane Stephens has a 16.1% chance of winning and Sofia Kenin has a 83.9% chance of taking the victory. We tip Kenin to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Sloane Stephens vs Sofia Kenin

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sloane Stephens

• Stephens vs Samsonova H2H (0-3) , could play in The Third round
• Kasatkina vs Stephens H2H (2-4) , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sofia Kenin

• Kenin vs Samsonova H2H (2-0) , could play in The Third round
• Kasatkina vs Kenin H2H (2-3) , could play in The Second round