Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction – ATP Wimbledon – 3rd July 2025 Best Bets

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Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction – ATP Wimbledon  – 3rd July 2025 Best Bets

Lorenzo Sonego and Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction Head To Head Summary

Sonego Vs Basilashvili H2H Summary Stats 3rd July 2025

Sonego vs Basilashvili Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Sonego has a 69.93% chance to win this match.

Sonego → 1.43. Basilashvili → 3.02.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Sonego vs Basilashvili Upcoming Match Details:

Sonego will play Basilashvili on Grass court in the Second round at the ATP Wimbledon event in London Men’s Singles 2025 on 3rd July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Sonego 2-1 Basilashvili

The current Head to Head score is 2-1. Sonego comes into this match with a ranking of 47 , while Basilashvili is ranked 126.

Sonego vs Basilashvili Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

  • Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Basilashvili has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Sonego has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
  • Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Basilashvili has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Sonego has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
  • Performance under pressure prediction: Basilashvili has been saving 52% of his breakpoints, and Sonego has saved 61% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Surface prediction: Basilashvili performs best on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 184/144) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 48% (W/L 77/82). Sonego performs best on Clay, winning 59% (W/L 203/141), and performs worse on Hard, winning 49% (W/L 81/84).
  • In play break point conversion prediction: Nikoloz Basilashvili has converted 29% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Lorenzo Sonego has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
  • Last match played: In the match before this one, Lorenzo Sonego played Jaime Faria in the First round at the Wimbledon – London and won 6-3 6-4 6-2 in 01:43:00 . Nikoloz Basilashvili played Lorenzo Musetti in the First round at the Wimbledon – London and won 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-1 in 02:25:00.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Sonego Vs Basilashvili Prediction Stats At Wimbledon  Day 4

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Lorenzo Sonego and Nikoloz Basilashvili

Of their last 10 matches played, Sonego has won 4, while Basilashvili has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Grass in recent matches, Sonego has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 34% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 259.63 , while Basilashvili has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 33% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 401.17.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Sonego Vs Basilashvili

Sonego Vs Basilashvili Prediction H2H & All Wimbledon  Day 4 Predictions

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Sonego has won 10 titles in his career, while Nikoloz Basilashvili has won 24 events. Sonego has won 51% (45500 of 89635) of points played in his entire career, and Basilashvili has achieved 50% (49841 of 100437). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Sonego has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (146 of 284), whereas Nikoloz Basilashvili has won 59% (176 of 299). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Lorenzo Sonego has an 61.33% probability of winning this match.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Lorenzo Sonego has a 61.33% chance of winning and Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 38.67% chance of taking the victory. We tip Sonego to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Wimbledon – London, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Lorenzo Sonego

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Nikoloz Basilashvili