Colton Smith and Learner Tien Prediction Head To Head Summary

Smith vs Tien Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Tien has a 60.98% chance to win this match.
Smith → 2.31. Tien → 1.64.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Smith vs Tien Upcoming Match Details:
Smith will play Tien on Hard court in the First round at the ATP National Bank Open event in Toronto Men’s Singles 2025 on 27th July 2025.
Head-to-Head: Smith 0-0 Tien
The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Smith comes into this match with a ranking of 139 , while Tien is ranked 67.
Smith vs Tien Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Tien has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Smith has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Tien has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Smith has won 27%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Tien has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Smith has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Tien performs best on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 94/30) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 35% (W/L 6/11). Smith performs best on I.hard, winning 75% (W/L 18/6), and performs worse on Grass, winning 64% (W/L 9/5).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Learner Tien has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Colton Smith has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Colton Smith played Patrick Kypson in the Q1 round at the National Bank Open – Toronto and won 6-1 7-5 in 01:28:05 . Learner Tien played Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Third round at the Citi Open – Washington and lost 6-2 6-2 in 01:10:49.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Colton Smith and Learner Tien
Of their last 10 matches played, Smith has won 6, while Tien has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Smith has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 324.59 , while Tien has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 371.41.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Smith Vs Tien

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Smith has won 2 titles in his career, while Learner Tien has won 10 events. Smith has won 53% (6457 of 12276) of points played in his entire career, and Tien has achieved 52% (13355 of 25890). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Smith has won 34% of tie breaks in his entire career (10 of 29), whereas Learner Tien has won 61% (43 of 70). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Learner Tien has an 64.21% probability of winning this match.
Colton Smith vs Learner Tien Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Learner Tien To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Colton Smith has a 35.79% chance of winning and Learner Tien has a 64.21% chance of taking the victory. We tip Tien to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the National Bank Open – Toronto, go here.







