Colton Smith vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction &#8211; ATP Indian Wells &#8211; 6th March 2025 Best Bets

Colton Smith and Flavio Cobolli Prediction Head To Head Summary

Smith vs Cobolli Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Cobolli has a 58.14% win this match.

Smith → 2.47. Cobolli → 1.58.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Smith vs Cobolli Upcoming Match Details:

Smith will play Cobolli on Hard court in the First round at the ATP BNP Paribas Open event in Indian Wells Men’s Singles 2025 on 6th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Smith 0-0 Cobolli

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Smith comes into this match with a ranking of 261 , while Cobolli is ranked 40.

Smith vs Cobolli Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Cobolli has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Smith has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Cobolli has won 21% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Smith has won 27%. The same stats for second serve return points are 41% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Cobolli has been saving 56% of his breakpoints, and Smith has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Surface prediction: Cobolli performs best on Hard, winning 61% (W/L 53/34) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 33% (W/L 3/6). Smith performs best on I.hard, winning 75% (W/L 18/6), and performs worse on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 28/10).
In play break point conversion prediction: Flavio Cobolli has converted 20% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Colton Smith has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Colton Smith played Pavel Kotov in the Q3 round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and won 6-3 7-6(8) in 01:53:55 . Flavio Cobolli played Ben Shelton in the First round at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco and lost 7-6(4) 7-6(4) in 02:01:50.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Smith Vs Cobolli Prediction Stats At BNP Paribas Open Day 4

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Colton Smith and Flavio Cobolli

Of their last 10 matches played, Smith has won 7, while Cobolli has won 3. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Smith has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points , while Cobolli has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Smith Vs Cobolli

Smith Vs Cobolli Prediction H2H & All BNP Paribas Open Day 4 Predictions

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Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Smith has won 2 titles in his career, while Flavio Cobolli has won 3 events. Smith has won 53% (4049 of 7636) of points played in his entire career, and Cobolli has achieved 50% (24742 of 49285). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Smith has won 39% of tie breaks in his entire career (9 of 23), whereas Flavio Cobolli has won 50% (56 of 111). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Flavio Cobolli has an 58.14% probability of winning this match.

Colton Smith vs Flavio Cobolli Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Flavio Cobolli To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Colton Smith has a 41.86% chance of winning and Flavio Cobolli has a 58.14% chance of taking the victory. We tip Cobolli to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Colton Smith vs Flavio Cobolli

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells, go here.