Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction – ATP French Open – 8th June 2025 Best Bets

Published on 6/8/2025

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction – ATP French Open  – 8th June 2025 Best Bets

Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz Prediction Head To Head Summary

Sinner Vs Alcaraz H2H Summary Stats 8th June 2025

Sinner vs Alcaraz Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Alcaraz has a 52.36% chance to win this match.

Sinner → 1.93. Alcaraz → 1.91.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Sinner vs Alcaraz Upcoming Match Details:

Sinner will play Alcaraz on Clay court in the Final at the ATP French Open event in Paris Men’s Singles 2025 on 8th June 2025.

Head-to-Head: Sinner 4-8 Alcaraz

The current Head to Head score is 4-8. Sinner comes into this match with a ranking of 1 , while Alcaraz is ranked 2.

Sinner vs Alcaraz Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

  • Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Alcaraz has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Sinner has won 41% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
  • Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Alcaraz has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Sinner has won 22%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 37% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
  • Performance under pressure prediction: Alcaraz has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Sinner has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Surface prediction: Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 30/13). Sinner performs best on I.hard, winning 80% (W/L 100/25), and performs worse on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 23/11).
  • In play break point conversion prediction: Carlos Alcaraz has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jannik Sinner has converted 24% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
  • Last match played: In the match before this one, Jannik Sinner played Novak Djokovic in the Semifinals at the French Open – Paris and won 6-4 7-5 7-6(3) in 03:16:00 . Carlos Alcaraz played Lorenzo Musetti in the Semifinals at the French Open – Paris and won 4-6 7-6(3) 6-0 2-0 ret. in 02:25:00.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Sinner Vs Alcaraz Prediction Stats At French Open  Day 14

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz

Of their last 10 matches played, Sinner has won 9, while Alcaraz has won 10. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Sinner has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 68.08 , while Alcaraz has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 85.71.

Megan@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Sinner Vs Alcaraz

Sinner Vs Alcaraz Prediction H2H & All French Open  Day 14 Predictions

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Sinner has won 26 titles in his career, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 27 events. Sinner has won 53% (39002 of 73448) of points played in his entire career, and Alcaraz has achieved 53% (33479 of 62804). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Sinner has won 63% of tie breaks in his entire career (117 of 187), whereas Carlos Alcaraz has won 66% (111 of 169). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 72.85% probability of winning this match.

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jannik Sinner has a 27.15% chance of winning and Carlos Alcaraz has a 72.85% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the French Open – Paris, go here.

Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for ...

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