Sinner vs Alcaraz Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Alcaraz to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Alcaraz has won 58% of points on his second serve, while Sinner has won 57% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Alcaraz has won 34% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Sinner has won 32%. The same stats for second serve return points are 55% and 55% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Alcaraz has been saving 67% of his breakpoints, and Sinner has saved 69% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Alcaraz has won 86% of matches played (W/L 32/5) with Sinner winning 90% (W/L 37/4).
Surface prediction: Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 17/10). Sinner performs best on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 88/24), and performs worse on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 87/43).
In play break point conversion prediction: Carlos Alcaraz has converted 43% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jannik Sinner has converted 41% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Jannik Sinner played Bu Yunchaokete in the Semifinals at the China Open – Beijing and won 6-3 7-6(3) in 02:05:05 . Carlos Alcaraz played Daniil Medvedev in the Semifinals at the China Open – Beijing and won 7-5 6-3 in 01:27:39.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz
Of their last 10 matches played, Sinner has won 10, while Alcaraz has won 9. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Sinner has won 59% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points , while Alcaraz has won 60% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points.
Amanda@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Sinner Vs Alcaraz
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Sinner has won 22 titles in his career, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 22 events. Sinner has won 53% (35696 of 67560) of points played in his entire career, and Alcaraz has achieved 53% (28805 of 54234). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Sinner has won 62% of tie breaks in his entire career (106 of 171), whereas Carlos Alcaraz has won 64% (93 of 145). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 66.42% probability of winning this match.
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jannik Sinner has a 33.58% chance of winning and Carlos Alcaraz has a 66.42% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Sinner vs Alcaraz
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz here.
To see the full prediction for Sinner vs Alcaraz at China Open – Beijing, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com China Open Day 10 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the China Open – Beijing, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for ...
