Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina Prediction Head To Head Summary
Sabalenka vs Rybakina Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Sabalenka has a 56.50% chance to win this match.
Sabalenka → 1.77. Rybakina → 2.2.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Sabalenka vs Rybakina Upcoming Match Details:
Sabalenka will play Rybakina on I.hard court in the Final at the WTA WTA Finals event in Riyadh Women’s Singles 2025 on 8th November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Sabalenka 8-5 Rybakina
The current Head to Head score is 8-5. Sabalenka comes into this match with a ranking of 1 , while Rybakina is ranked 6.
Sabalenka vs Rybakina Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Rybakina has won 42% of points on his second serve, while Sabalenka has won 41% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Rybakina has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Sabalenka has won 31%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Rybakina has been saving 56% of his breakpoints, and Sabalenka has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Rybakina performs best on I.hard, winning 74% (W/L 68/24) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 69% (W/L 187/84). Sabalenka performs best on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 296/104), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 65% (W/L 45/24).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Elena Rybakina has converted 32% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Aryna Sabalenka has converted 33% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Aryna Sabalenka played Amanda Anisimova in the Semifinals at the WTA Finals – Riyadh and won 6-3 3-6 6-3 in 02:21:54 . Elena Rybakina played Jessica Pegula in the Semifinals at the WTA Finals – Riyadh and won 4-6 6-4 6-3 in 02:05:25.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Sabalenka Vs Rybakina
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Sabalenka has won 30 titles in her career, while Elena Rybakina has won 14 events. Sabalenka has won 53% (48378 of 91837) of points played in her entire career, and Rybakina has achieved 53% (39128 of 74283). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Sabalenka has won 62% of tie breaks in his entire career (112 of 182), whereas Elena Rybakina has won 55% (92 of 166). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Aryna Sabalenka has an 52.57% probability of winning this match.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Aryna Sabalenka has a 52.57% chance of winning and Elena Rybakina has a 47.43% chance of taking the victory. We tip Sabalenka to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the WTA Finals – Riyadh.
