Elena Rybakina and Madison Keys Prediction Head To Head Summary

Rybakina vs Keys Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Rybakina has a 76.34% chance to win this match.
Rybakina → 1.31. Keys → 3.82.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Rybakina vs Keys Upcoming Match Details:
Rybakina will play Keys on I.hard court in the Robin round at the WTA WTA Finals event in Riyadh Women’s Singles 2025 on 5th November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Rybakina 3-3 Keys
The current Head to Head score is 3-3. Rybakina comes into this match with a ranking of 6 , while Keys is ranked 7.
Rybakina vs Keys Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Keys has won 41% of points on his second serve, while Rybakina has won 42% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Keys has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Rybakina has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 50% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Keys has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Rybakina has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Keys performs best on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/22) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 17/17). Rybakina performs best on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 38/14), and performs worse on Hard, winning 69% (W/L 187/84).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Madison Keys has converted 36% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Elena Rybakina has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Elena Rybakina played Iga Swiatek in the Robin round at the WTA Finals – Riyadh and won 3-6 6-1 6-0 in 01:37:42 . Madison Keys played Amanda Anisimova in the Robin round at the WTA Finals – Riyadh and lost 4-6 6-3 6-2 in 01:43:50.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Rybakina Vs Keys

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Rybakina has won 14 titles in her career, while Madison Keys has won 15 events. Rybakina has won 53% (38964 of 73978) of points played in her entire career, and Keys has achieved 52% (42630 of 81777). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Rybakina has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (92 of 166), whereas Madison Keys has won 58% (102 of 177). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Elena Rybakina has an 68.22% probability of winning this match.
Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Elena Rybakina To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Elena Rybakina has a 68.22% chance of winning and Madison Keys has a 31.78% chance of taking the victory. We tip Rybakina to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the WTA Finals – Riyadh.







