Bernarda Pera vs Maria Lourdes Carle Prediction – WTA Mutua Madrid Open – 22nd April 2025 Best Bets

Bernarda Pera and Maria Lourdes Carle Prediction Head To Head Summary

Pera vs Carle Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Pera has a 52.91% chance to win this match.

Pera → 1.94. Carle → 1.89.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Pera vs Carle Upcoming Match Details:

Pera will play Carle on Clay court in the Q3 round at the WTA Mutua Madrid Open event in Madrid Women’s Singles 2025 on 22nd April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Pera 0-0 Carle

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Pera comes into this match with a ranking of 81 , while Carle is ranked 119.

Pera vs Carle Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Carle has won 34% of points on his second serve, while Pera has won 41% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Carle has won 38% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Pera has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 54% and 50% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Carle has been saving 47% of his breakpoints, and Pera has saved 49% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Carle performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 214/109) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 43% (W/L 3/4). Pera performs best on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 252/106), and performs worse on Grass, winning 47% (W/L 14/16).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Maria Lourdes Carle has converted 40% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Bernarda Pera has converted 34% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Bernarda Pera played Ruth Roura Llaverias in the Q1 round at the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid and won 6-2 6-4 in 01:04:12 . Maria Lourdes Carle played Daria Snigur in the Q1 round at the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid and won 5-7 7-6(7) 6-4 in 02:42:25.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Bernarda Pera and Maria Lourdes Carle

Of their last 10 matches played, Pera has won 6, while Carle has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Pera has won 43% of her own 2nd serve points and 47% of return points , while Carle has won 38% of her own 2nd serve points and 51% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Pera Vs Carle

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Pera has won 11 titles in her career, while Maria Lourdes Carle has won 15 events. Pera has won 51% (34029 of 66744) of points played in her entire career, and Carle has achieved 52% (30835 of 59391). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Pera has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (82 of 156), whereas Maria Lourdes Carle has won 45% (41 of 92). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Bernarda Pera has an 55.46% probability of winning this match.

Bernarda Pera vs Maria Lourdes Carle Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Bernarda Pera To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Bernarda Pera has a 55.46% chance of winning and Maria Lourdes Carle has a 44.54% chance of taking the victory. We tip Pera to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid, go here.