Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Prediction – WTA Bad Homburg Open – 28th June 2025 Best Bets

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Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Prediction – WTA Bad Homburg Open  – 28th June 2025 Best Bets

Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek Prediction Head To Head Summary

Pegula Vs Swiatek H2H Summary Stats 28th June 2025

Pegula vs Swiatek Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Swiatek has a 65.36% chance to win this match.

Pegula → 2.63. Swiatek → 1.53.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Pegula vs Swiatek Upcoming Match Details:

Pegula will play Swiatek on Grass court in the Final at the WTA Bad Homburg Open event in Bad Homburg Women’s Singles 2025 on 28th June 2025.

Head-to-Head: Pegula 4-6 Swiatek

The current Head to Head score is 4-6. Pegula comes into this match with a ranking of 3 , while Swiatek is ranked 8.

Pegula vs Swiatek Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

  • Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Swiatek has won 39% of points on his second serve, while Pegula has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
  • Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Swiatek has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Pegula has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
  • Performance under pressure prediction: Swiatek has been saving 45% of his breakpoints, and Pegula has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Surface prediction: Swiatek performs best on Clay, winning 87% (W/L 148/22) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 72% (W/L 21/8). Pegula performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 271/131), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 31/23).
  • In play break point conversion prediction: Iga Swiatek has converted 37% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jessica Pegula has converted 34% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
  • Last match played: In the match before this one, Jessica Pegula played Linda Noskova in the Semifinals at the Bad Homburg Open – Bad Homburg and won 6-7(2) 7-5 6-1 in 02:07:23 . Iga Swiatek played Jasmine Paolini in the Semifinals at the Bad Homburg Open – Bad Homburg and won 6-1 6-3 in 01:06:16.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Pegula Vs Swiatek Prediction Stats At Bad Homburg Open  Day 6

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek

Of their last 10 matches played, Pegula has won 6, while Swiatek has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Grass in recent matches, Pegula has won 52% of her own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 288.06 , while Swiatek has won 48% of her own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 207.83.

Amanda@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Pegula Vs Swiatek

Pegula Vs Swiatek Prediction H2H & All Bad Homburg Open  Day 6 Predictions

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Pegula has won 9 titles in her career, while Iga Swiatek has won 30 events. Pegula has won 52% (41247 of 79402) of points played in her entire career, and Swiatek has achieved 55% (31577 of 57382). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Pegula has won 58% of tie breaks in his entire career (102 of 175), whereas Iga Swiatek has won 53% (40 of 76). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Iga Swiatek has an 69.71% probability of winning this match.

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Iga Swiatek To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jessica Pegula has a 30.29% chance of winning and Iga Swiatek has a 69.71% chance of taking the victory. We tip Swiatek to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Bad Homburg Open – Bad Homburg, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jessica Pegula

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Iga Swiatek