Jessica Pegula and Jasmine Paolini Prediction Head To Head Summary
Pegula vs Paolini Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Pegula has a 64.10% chance to win this match.
Pegula → 1.56. Paolini → 2.52.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Pegula vs Paolini Upcoming Match Details:
Pegula will play Paolini on I.hard court in the Robin round at the WTA WTA Finals event in Riyadh Women’s Singles 2025 on 6th November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Pegula 5-1 Paolini
The current Head to Head score is 5-1. Pegula comes into this match with a ranking of 5 , while Paolini is ranked 8.
Pegula vs Paolini Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Paolini has won 42% of points on his second serve, while Pegula has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Paolini has won 35% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Pegula has won 30%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 51% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Paolini has been saving 49% of his breakpoints, and Pegula has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Paolini performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 226/127) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 49% (W/L 17/18). Pegula performs best on Hard, winning 68% (W/L 286/137), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 56% (W/L 33/26).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Jasmine Paolini has converted 38% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jessica Pegula has converted 38% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Jessica Pegula played Aryna Sabalenka in the Robin round at the WTA Finals – Riyadh and lost 6-4 2-6 6-3 in 02:03:01 . Jasmine Paolini played Cori Gauff in the Robin round at the WTA Finals – Riyadh and lost 6-3 6-2 in 01:18:53.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Pegula Vs Paolini
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Pegula has won 10 titles in her career, while Jasmine Paolini has won 14 events. Pegula has won 52% (43323 of 83325) of points played in her entire career, and Paolini has achieved 51% (41745 of 82493). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Pegula has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (105 of 183), whereas Jasmine Paolini has won 55% (82 of 150). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jessica Pegula has an 55.98% probability of winning this match.
Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jessica Pegula To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jessica Pegula has a 55.98% chance of winning and Jasmine Paolini has a 44.02% chance of taking the victory. We tip Pegula to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the WTA Finals – Riyadh.
