Paul vs Fognini Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Paul to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Fognini has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Paul has won 56% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Fognini has won 31% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Paul has won 34%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 52% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Fognini has been saving 60% of his breakpoints, and Paul has saved 67% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Fognini has won 53% of matches played (W/L 18/16) with Paul winning 71% (W/L 25/10).
Surface prediction: Fognini performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 462/276) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 43% (W/L 43/58). Paul performs best on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 32/16), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 57/35).
In play break point conversion prediction: Fabio Fognini has converted 47% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Tommy Paul has converted 42% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Tommy Paul played Tomas Machac in the Second round at the Japan Open Tennis Championships – Tokyo and lost 2-6 6-3 7-6(4) in 02:35:04 . Fabio Fognini played Luciano Darderi in the First round at the Shanghai Rolex Masters – Shanghai and won 6-4 6-7(5) 6-4 in 02:21:47.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Tommy Paul and Fabio Fognini
Of their last 10 matches played, Paul has won 5, while Fognini has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Paul has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points , while Fognini has won 45% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points.
Alma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Paul Vs Fognini
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Paul has won 15 titles in his career, while Fabio Fognini has won 25 events. Paul has won 51% (44257 of 86191) of points played in his entire career, and Fognini has achieved 50% (74618 of 149720). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Paul has won 54% of tie breaks in his entire career (135 of 251), whereas Fabio Fognini has won 56% (225 of 402). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Tommy Paul has an 71.88% probability of winning this match.
Tommy Paul vs Fabio Fognini Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Tommy Paul To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Tommy Paul has a 71.88% chance of winning and Fabio Fognini has a 28.12% chance of taking the victory. We tip Paul to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Paul vs Fognini
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Tommy Paul vs Fabio Fognini here.
To see the full prediction for Paul vs Fognini at Shanghai Rolex Masters – Shanghai, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Shanghai Rolex Masters Day 4 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Shanghai Rolex Masters – Shanghai, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for ...
