The current Head to Head score is 2-4. Paul comes into this match with a ranking of 12 , while Alcaraz is ranked 2.
Paul vs Alcaraz Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Alcaraz has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Paul has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Alcaraz has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Paul has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Alcaraz has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Paul has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Surface prediction: Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 30/13). Paul performs best on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 32/16), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 64/38).
In play break point conversion prediction: Carlos Alcaraz has converted 30% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Tommy Paul has converted 33% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Tommy Paul played Alexei Popyrin in the Fourth round at the French Open – Paris and won 6-3 6-3 6-3 in 01:51:00 . Carlos Alcaraz played Ben Shelton in the Fourth round at the French Open – Paris and won 7-6(8) 6-3 4-6 6-4 in 03:19:00.
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz
Of their last 10 matches played, Paul has won 8, while Alcaraz has won 10. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Paul has won 58% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 109.43 , while Alcaraz has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 85.71.
Amanda@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Paul Vs Alcaraz
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Paul has won 16 titles in his career, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 27 events. Paul has won 51% (47980 of 93265) of points played in his entire career, and Alcaraz has achieved 53% (33284 of 62479). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Paul has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (146 of 274), whereas Carlos Alcaraz has won 65% (110 of 168). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 83.01% probability of winning this match.
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Tommy Paul has a 16.99% chance of winning and Carlos Alcaraz has a 83.01% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the French Open – Paris, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for ...
