Julieta Pareja vs Ajla Tomljanovic Prediction – WTA Indian Wells – 4th March 2025 Best Bets

Julieta Pareja and Ajla Tomljanovic Prediction Head To Head Summary

Pareja vs Tomljanovic Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Tomljanovic has a 88.83% win this match.

Pareja → 4.62. Tomljanovic → 1.22.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Pareja vs Tomljanovic Upcoming Match Details:

Pareja will play Tomljanovic on Hard court in the Q1 round at the WTA BNP Paribas Open event in Indian Wells Women’s Singles 2025 on 4th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Pareja 0-0 Tomljanovic

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Pareja comes into this match with a ranking of 556 , while Tomljanovic is ranked 94.

Pareja vs Tomljanovic Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Tomljanovic has won 36% of points on his second serve, while Pareja has won 36% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Tomljanovic has won 33% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Pareja has won 41%. The same stats for second serve return points are 56% and 52% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Tomljanovic has been saving 48% of his breakpoints, and Pareja has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Tomljanovic performs best on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 44/30) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 47% (W/L 22/25). Pareja performs best on Hard, winning 73% (W/L 19/7), and performs worse on Hard, winning 73% (W/L 19/7).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Ajla Tomljanovic has converted 43% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Julieta Pareja has converted 48% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Julieta Pareja played Amelia Honer in the Final at the W35 Bakersfield and lost 6-4 6-3 in 01:50:00 . Ajla Tomljanovic played Jessica Pegula in the Semifinals at the ATX Open – Austin and lost 6-1 4-6 6-3 in 01:58:32.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Julieta Pareja and Ajla Tomljanovic

Of their last 10 matches played, Pareja has won 7, while Tomljanovic has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Pareja has won 44% of her own 2nd serve points and 50% of return points , while Tomljanovic has won 39% of her own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Pareja Vs Tomljanovic

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Pareja has won 1 title in her career, while Ajla Tomljanovic has won 7 events. Pareja has won 51% (1819 of 3576) of points played in her entire career, and Tomljanovic has achieved 50% (38419 of 76446). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Pareja has won 75% of tie breaks in his entire career (6 of 8), whereas Ajla Tomljanovic has won 53% (104 of 196). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Ajla Tomljanovic has an 88.83% probability of winning this match.

Julieta Pareja vs Ajla Tomljanovic Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Ajla Tomljanovic To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Julieta Pareja has a 11.17% chance of winning and Ajla Tomljanovic has a 88.83% chance of taking the victory. We tip Tomljanovic to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Julieta Pareja vs Ajla Tomljanovic

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells, go here.