Naomi Osaka and Anastasija Sevastova Prediction Head To Head Summary

Osaka vs Sevastova Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Osaka has a 75.19% chance to win this match.
Osaka → 1.33. Sevastova → 3.73.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Osaka vs Sevastova Upcoming Match Details:
Osaka will play Sevastova on Hard court in the Fourth round at the WTA Omnium Banque Nationale event in Montreal Women’s Singles 2025 on 3rd August 2025.
Head-to-Head: Osaka 3-2 Sevastova
The current Head to Head score is 3-2. Osaka comes into this match with a ranking of 49 , while Sevastova is ranked 386.
Osaka vs Sevastova Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Sevastova has won 38% of points on his second serve, while Osaka has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Sevastova has won 34% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Osaka has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 53% and 52% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Sevastova has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Osaka has saved 49% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Sevastova performs best on Clay, winning 68% (W/L 211/100) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 56% (W/L 27/21). Osaka performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 222/111), and performs worse on Grass, winning 55% (W/L 24/20).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Anastasija Sevastova has converted 38% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Naomi Osaka has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Naomi Osaka played Jelena Ostapenko in the Third round at the Omnium Banque Nationale – Montreal and won 6-2 6-4 in 01:12:09 . Anastasija Sevastova played Jessica Pegula in the Third round at the Omnium Banque Nationale – Montreal and won 3-6 6-4 6-1 in 01:41:21.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Naomi Osaka and Anastasija Sevastova
Of their last 10 matches played, Osaka has won 7, while Sevastova has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Osaka has won 51% of her own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 108.65 , while Sevastova has won 47% of her own 2nd serve points and 51% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 452.67.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Osaka Vs Sevastova

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Osaka has won 8 titles in her career, while Anastasija Sevastova has won 18 events. Osaka has won 52% (27336 of 52551) of points played in her entire career, and Sevastova has achieved 51% (35773 of 70266). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Osaka has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (61 of 116), whereas Anastasija Sevastova has won 52% (85 of 162). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Naomi Osaka has an 70.9% probability of winning this match.
Naomi Osaka vs Anastasija Sevastova Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Naomi Osaka To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Naomi Osaka has a 70.9% chance of winning and Anastasija Sevastova has a 29.1% chance of taking the victory. We tip Osaka to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Omnium Banque Nationale – Montreal, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Naomi Osaka
- Osaka vs Swiatek H2H () , could play in The Second round
- Osaka vs Tauson H2H () , could play in The Second round
- Osaka vs Muchova H2H () , could play in The Second round
- Osaka vs Keys H2H () , could play in The Second round
- Svitolina vs Osaka H2H () , could play in The First round
- Anisimova vs Osaka H2H () , could play in The First round
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Anastasija Sevastova
- Sevastova vs Swiatek H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
- Sevastova vs Tauson H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
- Sevastova vs Muchova H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
- Sevastova vs Keys H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
- Svitolina vs Sevastova H2H (undefined), could play in The First round
- Anisimova vs Sevastova H2H (undefined), could play in The First round







