Reilly Opelka vs Murphy Cassone Prediction – ATP Citi Open – 21st July 2025 Best Bets

Reilly Opelka and Murphy Cassone Prediction Head To Head Summary

Opelka vs Cassone Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Opelka has a 76.34% chance to win this match.

Opelka → 1.31. Cassone → 3.82.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Opelka vs Cassone Upcoming Match Details:

Opelka will play Cassone on Hard court in the First round at the ATP Citi Open event in Washington Men’s Singles 2025 on 21st July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Opelka 0-0 Cassone

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Opelka comes into this match with a ranking of 74 , while Cassone is ranked 185.

Opelka vs Cassone Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Cassone has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Opelka has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Cassone has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Opelka has won 19%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 40% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Cassone has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Opelka has saved 65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Cassone performs best on I.hard, winning 71% (W/L 35/14) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 29% (W/L 2/5). Opelka performs best on I.hard, winning 67% (W/L 46/23), and performs worse on Grass, winning 46% (W/L 17/20).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Murphy Cassone has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Reilly Opelka has converted 24% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Reilly Opelka played Brandon Nakashima in the Second round at the Wimbledon – London and lost 7-5 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3 in 02:26:00 . Murphy Cassone played Rinky Hijikata in the Q3 round at the Citi Open – Washington and won 7-6(4) 1-2 ret. in 00:59:55.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Reilly Opelka and Murphy Cassone

Of their last 10 matches played, Opelka has won 6, while Cassone has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Opelka has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 28% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 69.8 , while Cassone has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 437.72.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Opelka Vs Cassone

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Opelka has won 8 titles in his career, while Murphy Cassone has won 2 events. Opelka has won 50% (29413 of 58879) of points played in his entire career, and Cassone has achieved 51% (9904 of 19248). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Opelka has won 54% of tie breaks in his entire career (186 of 345), whereas Murphy Cassone has won 53% (29 of 55). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Reilly Opelka has an 66.26% probability of winning this match.

Reilly Opelka vs Murphy Cassone Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Reilly Opelka To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Reilly Opelka has a 66.26% chance of winning and Murphy Cassone has a 33.74% chance of taking the victory. We tip Opelka to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Citi Open – Washington, go here.