Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Betting Odds &#038; Pick &#8211; ATP Bastad &#8211; 18th July 2024 Best Bets

Cameron Norrie and Rafael Nadal Prediction Head To Head Summary

Norrie vs Nadal Upcoming Match Details:

Norrie will play Nadal on hard court in the Second round at the ATP Nordea Open event in Bastad Men’s Singles 2024 on 18th July 2024.

Head-to-head: Norrie 1-4 Nadal

The current Head to Head score is 1-4. Norrie comes into this match with a ranking of 42 , while Nadal is ranked 261.

Norrie vs Nadal Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Nadal has won 52% of points on his second serve, while Norrie has won 51% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Nadal has won 31% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Norrie has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 52% and 53% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Nadal has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Norrie has saved 64% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Nadal has won 60% of matches played (W/L 6/4) with Norrie winning 52% (W/L 15/14).
Surface prediction: Nadal performs best on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 507/57) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/38). Norrie performs best on Hard, winning 68% (W/L 223/103), and performs worse on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 26/28).
In play break point conversion prediction: Rafael Nadal has converted 40% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Cameron Norrie has converted 39% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Cameron Norrie played Jozef Kovalik in the First round at the Nordea Open – Bastad and won 7-6(4) 6-4 in 01:35:42 . Rafael Nadal played Leo Borg in the First round at the Nordea Open – Bastad and won 6-3 6-4 in 01:25:23.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats. See it here.

Norrie Vs Nadal Prediction Stats At Nordea Open Day 4

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Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Cameron Norrie and Rafael Nadal

Of their last 10 matches played, Norrie has won 4, while Nadal has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Norrie has won 46% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points , while Nadal has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Norrie Vs Nadal

Norrie Vs Nadal Prediction H2H & All Nordea Open Day 4 Predictions

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Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Norrie has won 13 titles in his career, while Rafael Nadal has won 104 events. Norrie has won 51% (41481 of 81019) of points played in his entire career, and Nadal has achieved 55% (95778 of 175615). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Norrie has won 50% of tie breaks in his entire career (93 of 187), whereas Rafael Nadal has won 61% (276 of 451). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Rafael Nadal has an 69.75% probability of winning this match.

Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Nadal Odds & Betting Tips – Our Prediction: Rafael Nadal To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Cameron Norrie has a 30.25% chance of winning and Rafael Nadal has a 69.75% chance of taking the victory. We tip Nadal to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

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Value Bets For Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Nadal

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Nadal here.

To see the full prediction for Norrie vs Nadal at Nordea Open – Bastad, go to the head to head page here

This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Nordea Open Day 4 Predictions here.

To see all live tennis scores for the Nordea Open – Bastad, go here.