Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Korda Prediction – ATP U.S. Open – 25th August 2025 Best Bets

Cameron Norrie and Sebastian Korda Prediction Head To Head Summary

Norrie vs Korda Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Norrie has a 59.17% chance to win this match.

Norrie → 2.23. Korda → 1.69.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Norrie vs Korda Upcoming Match Details:

Norrie will play Korda on Hard court in the First round at the ATP U.S. Open event in New York Men’s Singles 2025 on 25th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Norrie 1-3 Korda

The current Head to Head score is 1-3. Norrie comes into this match with a ranking of 35 , while Korda is ranked 75.

Norrie vs Korda Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Korda has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Norrie has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Korda has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Norrie has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Korda has been saving 50% of his breakpoints, and Norrie has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Korda performs best on Grass, winning 64% (W/L 16/9) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 85/62). Norrie performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 231/114), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 49% (W/L 49/50).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Sebastian Korda has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Cameron Norrie has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Cameron Norrie played Roberto Bautista Agut in the Second round at the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati and lost 6-4 6-3 in 01:51:09 . Sebastian Korda played Miomir Kecmanovic in the Quarterfinals at the Winston-Salem Open – Winston-Salem and won 6-1 6-4 in 01:08:58.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Cameron Norrie and Sebastian Korda

Of their last 10 matches played, Norrie has won 6, while Korda has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Norrie has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 85.73 , while Korda has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 100.15.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Norrie Vs Korda

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Norrie has won 13 titles in his career, while Sebastian Korda has won 4 events. Norrie has won 51% (46503 of 91042) of points played in his entire career, and Korda has achieved 51% (30536 of 59784). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Norrie has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (110 of 215), whereas Sebastian Korda has won 54% (96 of 177). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Cameron Norrie has an 57.02% probability of winning this match.

Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Korda Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Cameron Norrie To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Cameron Norrie has a 57.02% chance of winning and Sebastian Korda has a 42.98% chance of taking the victory. We tip Norrie to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Cameron Norrie

• Norrie vs Michelsen H2H () , could play in The Second round
• Norrie vs Comesana H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Korda

• Korda vs Michelsen H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
• Korda vs Comesana H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round