Luca Nardi vs Saba Purtseladze Prediction – ATP Perugia Challenger – 9th June 2025 Best Bets

Luca Nardi and Saba Purtseladze Prediction Head To Head Summary

Nardi vs Purtseladze Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Nardi has a 81.97% chance to win this match.

Nardi → 1.22. Purtseladze → 4.58.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Nardi vs Purtseladze Upcoming Match Details:

Nardi will play Purtseladze on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Perugia Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 9th June 2025.

Head-to-Head: Nardi 0-0 Purtseladze

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Nardi comes into this match with a ranking of 98 , while Purtseladze is ranked 237.

Nardi vs Purtseladze Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Purtseladze has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Nardi has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Purtseladze has won 20% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Nardi has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Purtseladze has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Nardi has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Purtseladze performs best on Hard, winning 63% (W/L 172/102) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 25% (W/L 3/9). Nardi performs best on Hard, winning 59% (W/L 57/39), and performs worse on Grass, winning 29% (W/L 2/5).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Saba Purtseladze has converted 26% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Luca Nardi has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Luca Nardi played Daniel Rincon in the First round at the Heilbronn Challenger and lost 6-3 3-6 6-3 in 02:15:48 . Saba Purtseladze played Petr Bar Biryukov in the First round at the Chisinau Challenger and lost 6-4 7-6(2) in 01:15:51.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Luca Nardi and Saba Purtseladze

Of their last 10 matches played, Nardi has won 4, while Purtseladze has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Nardi has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 142.31 , while Purtseladze has won 47% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 427.45.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Nardi Vs Purtseladze

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Nardi has won 10 titles in his career, while Saba Purtseladze has won 12 events. Nardi has won 50% (23154 of 45855) of points played in his entire career, and Purtseladze has achieved 51% (22168 of 43773). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Nardi has won 46% of tie breaks in his entire career (52 of 114), whereas Saba Purtseladze has won 49% (64 of 130). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Luca Nardi has an 60.47% probability of winning this match.

Luca Nardi vs Saba Purtseladze Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Luca Nardi To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Luca Nardi has a 60.47% chance of winning and Saba Purtseladze has a 39.53% chance of taking the victory. We tip Nardi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Perugia Challenger, go here.