Brandon Nakashima vs Jesper De Jong Prediction – ATP U.S. Open – 25th August 2025 Best Bets

Brandon Nakashima and Jesper De Jong Prediction Head To Head Summary

Nakashima vs Jong Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Nakashima has a 71.94% chance to win this match.

Nakashima → 1.39. Jong → 3.25.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Nakashima vs Jong Upcoming Match Details:

Nakashima will play Jong on Hard court in the First round at the ATP U.S. Open event in New York Men’s Singles 2025 on 25th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Nakashima 1-0 Jong

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Nakashima comes into this match with a ranking of 32 , while Jong is ranked 80.

Nakashima vs Jong Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Jong has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Nakashima has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Jong has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Nakashima has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Jong has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Nakashima has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Jong performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 91/44) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 33% (W/L 6/12). Nakashima performs best on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 65/28), and performs worse on Clay, winning 50% (W/L 35/35).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Jesper De Jong has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Brandon Nakashima has converted 31% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Brandon Nakashima played Alexander Zverev in the Third round at the Cincinnati Open – Cincinnati and lost 6-4 6-4 in 01:36:05 . Jesper De Jong played Mitchell Krueger in the Q3 round at the U.S. Open – New York and won 6-4 6-1 in 01:26:00.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Brandon Nakashima and Jesper De Jong

Of their last 10 matches played, Nakashima has won 6, while Jong has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Nakashima has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 97.78 , while Jong has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 323.59.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Nakashima Vs Jong

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Nakashima has won 8 titles in his career, while Jesper De Jong has won 7 events. Nakashima has won 52% (32240 of 62348) of points played in his entire career, and Jong has achieved 52% (32309 of 62315). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Nakashima has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (131 of 235), whereas Jesper De Jong has won 51% (81 of 159). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Brandon Nakashima has an 61.03% probability of winning this match.

Brandon Nakashima vs Jesper De Jong Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Brandon Nakashima To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Brandon Nakashima has a 61.03% chance of winning and Jesper De Jong has a 38.97% chance of taking the victory. We tip Nakashima to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.