Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction – ATP Miami – 21st March 2025 Best Bets

Brandon Nakashima and Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction Head To Head Summary

Nakashima vs Baena Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Nakashima has a 32.26% win this match.

Nakashima → 1.45. Baena → 3.1.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Nakashima vs Baena Upcoming Match Details:

Nakashima will play Baena on Hard court in the Second round at the ATP Miami Open event in Miami Men’s Singles 2025 on 21st March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Nakashima 0-0 Baena

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Nakashima comes into this match with a ranking of 32 , while Baena is ranked 53.

Nakashima vs Baena Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Baena has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Nakashima has won 50% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Baena has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Nakashima has won 21%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 38% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Baena has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Nakashima has saved 61% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Baena performs best on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 504/303) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 7/16). Nakashima performs best on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 58/26), and performs worse on Clay, winning 52% (W/L 29/27).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Roberto Carballes Baena has converted 39% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Brandon Nakashima has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Brandon Nakashima played Ben Shelton in the Fourth round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and lost 7-6(6) 6-1 in 01:34:53 . Roberto Carballes Baena played Christopher O’Connell in the First round at the Miami Open – Miami and won 6-3 3-6 7-6(5) in 02:34:35.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Brandon Nakashima and Roberto Carballes Baena

Of their last 10 matches played, Nakashima has won 7, while Baena has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Nakashima has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points , while Baena has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Nakashima Vs Baena

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Nakashima has won 7 titles in his career, while Roberto Carballes Baena has won 24 events. Nakashima has won 52% (28615 of 55290) of points played in his entire career, and Baena has achieved 51% (56830 of 111802). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Nakashima has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (109 of 198), whereas Roberto Carballes Baena has won 48% (138 of 286). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Brandon Nakashima has an 56.77% probability of winning this match.

Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Carballes Baena Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Brandon Nakashima To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Brandon Nakashima has a 56.77% chance of winning and Roberto Carballes Baena has a 43.23% chance of taking the victory. We tip Nakashima to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Miami Open – Miami, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Brandon Nakashima

• Khachanov vs Nakashima H2H (1-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Kyrgios vs Nakashima H2H (1-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Cina vs Nakashima H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Dimitrov vs Nakashima H2H (1-1) , could play in The Semifinals
• Nakashima vs Alcaraz H2H (0-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Nakashima vs Goffin H2H (3-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Roberto Carballes Baena

• Khachanov vs Baena H2H (1-1) , could play in The Semifinals
• Kyrgios vs Baena H2H (1-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Cina vs Baena H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Dimitrov vs Baena H2H (2-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Baena vs Alcaraz H2H (0-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Baena vs Goffin H2H (2-3) , could play in The Quarterfinals