Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Zverev Prediction Head To Head Summary

Musetti vs Zverev Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Zverev has a 53.48% chance to win this match.
Musetti → 1.91. Zverev → 1.87.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Musetti vs Zverev Upcoming Match Details:
Musetti will play Zverev on I.hard court in the Semifinals at the ATP Erste Bank Open event in Vienna Men’s Singles 2025 on 25th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Musetti 3-1 Zverev
The current Head to Head score is 3-1. Musetti comes into this match with a ranking of 8 , while Zverev is ranked 3.
Musetti vs Zverev Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Zverev has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Musetti has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Zverev has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Musetti has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Zverev has been saving 55% of his breakpoints, and Musetti has saved 52% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Zverev performs best on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 212/90) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 103/52). Musetti performs best on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 141/71), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 48% (W/L 37/40).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Alexander Zverev has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Lorenzo Musetti has converted 26% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Lorenzo Musetti played Corentin Moutet in the Quarterfinals at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and won 6-3 6-4 in 01:41:46 . Alexander Zverev played Matteo Arnaldi in the Second round at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and won 6-4 6-4 in 01:27:08.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Musetti Vs Zverev

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Musetti has won 6 titles in his career, while Alexander Zverev has won 30 events. Musetti has won 51% (33807 of 66167) of points played in his entire career, and Zverev has achieved 52% (69019 of 132688). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Musetti has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (98 of 176), whereas Alexander Zverev has won 59% (234 of 394). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alexander Zverev has an 60.71% probability of winning this match.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Alexander Zverev To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Lorenzo Musetti has a 39.29% chance of winning and Alexander Zverev has a 60.71% chance of taking the victory. We tip Zverev to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Erste Bank Open – Vienna.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Alexander Zverev
- Cazaux vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Third round
- Darderi vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Third round
- Humbert vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Third round
- Fokina vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Third round







