Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction – ATP Monte – 13th April 2025 Best Bets

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction – ATP Monte – 13th April 2025 Best Bets

Lorenzo Musetti and Carlos Alcaraz Prediction Head To Head Summary

Musetti Vs Alcaraz H2H Summary Stats 13th April 2025

Musetti vs Alcaraz Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Alcaraz has a 74.63% chance to win this match.

Musetti → 3.82. Alcaraz → 1.34.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Musetti vs Alcaraz Upcoming Match Details:

Musetti will play Alcaraz on Clay court in the Final at the ATP Monteevent inCarlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo Men’s Singles 2025 on 13th April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Musetti 1-4 Alcaraz

The current Head to Head score is 1-4. Musetti comes into this match with a ranking of 16 , while Alcaraz is ranked 3.

Musetti vs Alcaraz Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

  • Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Alcaraz has won 42% of points on his second serve, while Musetti has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
  • Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Alcaraz has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Musetti has won 30%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
  • Performance under pressure prediction: Alcaraz has been saving 55% of his breakpoints, and Musetti has saved 61% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Surface prediction: Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 30/13). Musetti performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 128/67), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 46% (W/L 33/39).
  • In play break point conversion prediction: Carlos Alcaraz has converted 28% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Lorenzo Musetti has converted 37% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
  • Last match played: In the match before this one, Lorenzo Musetti played Alex De Minaur in the Semifinals at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo and won 1-6 6-4 7-6(4) in 02:38:37 . Carlos Alcaraz played Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Semifinals at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo and won 7-6(2) 6-4 in 02:09:05.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Musetti Vs Alcaraz Prediction Stats At Monte Day 7

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Lorenzo Musetti and Carlos Alcaraz

Of their last 10 matches played, Musetti has won 8, while Alcaraz has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Musetti has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points , while Alcaraz has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Musetti Vs Alcaraz

Musetti Vs Alcaraz Prediction H2H & All Monte Day 7 Predictions

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Musetti has won 6 titles in his career, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 25 events. Musetti has won 51% (30435 of 59810) of points played in his entire career, and Alcaraz has achieved 53% (31890 of 59930). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Musetti has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (92 of 161), whereas Carlos Alcaraz has won 65% (105 of 162). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 78.14% probability of winning this match.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Lorenzo Musetti has a 21.86% chance of winning and Carlos Alcaraz has a 78.14% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters – Monte-Carlo, go here.

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