Alexandre Muller vs Sebastian Baez Prediction – ATP Rio de Janeiro – 23rd February 2025 Best Bets

Alexandre Muller and Sebastian Baez Prediction Head To Head Summary

Muller vs Baez Upcoming Match Details:

Muller will play Baez on Clay court in the Final at the ATP Rio Open event in Rio de Janeiro Men’s Singles 2025 on 23rd February 2025.

Head-to-Head: Muller 0-0 Baez

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Muller comes into this match with a ranking of 60 , while Baez is ranked 31.

Muller vs Baez Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Baez has won 51% of points on his second serve, while Muller has won 50% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Baez has won 31% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Muller has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 51% and 51% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Baez has been saving 62% of his breakpoints, and Muller has saved 63% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Overall performance: In recent matches Baez has won 45% of matches played (W/L 9/11) with Muller winning 56% (W/L 14/11).
• Surface prediction: Baez performs best on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 220/91) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 6% (W/L 1/17). Muller performs best on Hard, winning 63% (W/L 141/82), and performs worse on Grass, winning 38% (W/L 3/5).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Sebastian Baez has converted 40% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Alexandre Muller has converted 41% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Alexandre Muller played Francisco Comesana in the Semifinals at the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro and won 7-5 6-7(3) 6-3 in 02:55:50 . Sebastian Baez played Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Semifinals at the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro and won 3-6 6-1 6-1 in 01:45:06.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Alexandre Muller and Sebastian Baez

Of their last 10 matches played, Muller has won 7, while Baez has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Muller has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points , while Baez has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Muller Vs Baez

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Muller has won 11 titles in his career, while Sebastian Baez has won 17 events. Muller has won 51% (45963 of 89805) of points played in his entire career, and Baez has achieved 52% (29848 of 57904). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Muller has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (116 of 226), whereas Sebastian Baez has won 49% (60 of 122). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Sebastian Baez has an 57.19% probability of winning this match.

Alexandre Muller vs Sebastian Baez Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Sebastian Baez To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Alexandre Muller has a 42.81% chance of winning and Sebastian Baez has a 57.19% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baez to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Alexandre Muller vs Sebastian Baez

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Baez

• Dzumhur vs Baez H2H (0-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Moutet vs Baez H2H (0-2) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Shevchenko vs Baez H2H (1-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Navone vs Baez H2H (0-2) , could play in The Quarterfinals