Corentin Moutet and Reilly Opelka Prediction Head To Head Summary

Moutet vs Opelka Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Moutet has a 55.25% chance to win this match.
Moutet → 1.81. Opelka → 2.01.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Moutet vs Opelka Upcoming Match Details:
Moutet will play Opelka on I.hard court in the First round at the ATP Rolex Paris Masters event in Paris Men’s Singles 2025 on 28th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Moutet 1-2 Opelka
The current Head to Head score is 1-2. Moutet comes into this match with a ranking of 32 , while Opelka is ranked 52.
Moutet vs Opelka Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Opelka has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Moutet has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Opelka has won 18% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Moutet has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 39% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Opelka has been saving 67% of his breakpoints, and Moutet has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Opelka performs best on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 51/26) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 46% (W/L 17/20). Moutet performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 189/107), and performs worse on Hard, winning 54% (W/L 68/58).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Reilly Opelka has converted 21% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Corentin Moutet has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Corentin Moutet played Lorenzo Musetti in the Quarterfinals at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and lost 6-3 6-4 in 01:41:46 . Reilly Opelka played Mattia Bellucci in the Q1 round at the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris and won 6-3 6-4 in 01:07:41.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Moutet Vs Opelka

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Moutet has won 13 titles in his career, while Reilly Opelka has won 8 events. Moutet has won 51% (41666 of 82277) of points played in his entire career, and Opelka has achieved 50% (31041 of 62139). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Moutet has won 52% of tie breaks in his entire career (100 of 194), whereas Reilly Opelka has won 54% (194 of 361). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Corentin Moutet has an 52.78% probability of winning this match.
Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelka Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Corentin Moutet To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Corentin Moutet has a 52.78% chance of winning and Reilly Opelka has a 47.22% chance of taking the victory. We tip Moutet to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Rolex Paris Masters – Paris.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Corentin Moutet
- Moutet vs Bublik H2H, could play in The Second round
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Reilly Opelka
- Opelka vs Bublik H2H, could play in The Second round







