Gael Monfils vs Tomas Barrios Vera Prediction – ATP National Bank Open – 27th July 2025 Best Bets

Gael Monfils and Tomas Barrios Vera Prediction Head To Head Summary

Monfils vs Vera Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Monfils has a 73.53% chance to win this match.

Monfils → 1.36. Vera → 3.47.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Monfils vs Vera Upcoming Match Details:

Monfils will play Vera on Hard court in the First round at the ATP National Bank Open event in Toronto Men’s Singles 2025 on 27th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Monfils 0-0 Vera

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Monfils comes into this match with a ranking of 48 , while Vera is ranked 142.

Monfils vs Vera Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Vera has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Monfils has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Vera has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Monfils has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Vera has been saving 51% of his breakpoints, and Monfils has saved 61% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Vera performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 293/168) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 0% (W/L 0/4). Monfils performs best on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 155/69), and performs worse on Grass, winning 57% (W/L 47/36).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Tomas Barrios Vera has converted 34% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Gael Monfils has converted 34% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Gael Monfils played Yibing Wu in the First round at the Citi Open – Washington and lost 6-3 6-1 in 01:18:29 . Tomas Barrios Vera played Chak Lam Coleman Wong in the Q3 round at the National Bank Open – Toronto and won 6-4 6-4 in 01:10:27.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Gael Monfils and Tomas Barrios Vera

Of their last 10 matches played, Monfils has won 3, while Vera has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Monfils has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 79.92 , while Vera has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 284.55.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Monfils Vs Vera

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Monfils has won 20 titles in his career, while Tomas Barrios Vera has won 13 events. Monfils has won 51% (72885 of 142113) of points played in his entire career, and Vera has achieved 51% (43935 of 85414). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Monfils has won 59% of tie breaks in his entire career (266 of 450), whereas Tomas Barrios Vera has won 60% (109 of 182). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Gael Monfils has an 55.58% probability of winning this match.

Gael Monfils vs Tomas Barrios Vera Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Gael Monfils To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Gael Monfils has a 55.58% chance of winning and Tomas Barrios Vera has a 44.42% chance of taking the victory. We tip Monfils to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the National Bank Open – Toronto, go here.