Shintaro Mochizuki and Federico Arnaboldi Prediction Head To Head Summary

Mochizuki vs Arnaboldi Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Mochizuki has a 82.64% chance to win this match.
Mochizuki → 1.21. Arnaboldi → 4.53.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Mochizuki vs Arnaboldi Upcoming Match Details:
Mochizuki will play Arnaboldi on I.hard court in the First round at the ATP Bergamo Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 18th November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Mochizuki 1-0 Arnaboldi
The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Mochizuki comes into this match with a ranking of 94 , while Arnaboldi is ranked 408.
Mochizuki vs Arnaboldi Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Arnaboldi has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Mochizuki has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Arnaboldi has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Mochizuki has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Arnaboldi has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Mochizuki has saved 52% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Arnaboldi performs best on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 26/19) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/1). Mochizuki performs best on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 18/13), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 42% (W/L 16/22).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Federico Arnaboldi has converted 22% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Shintaro Mochizuki has converted 37% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Shintaro Mochizuki played Viktor Durasovic in the First round at the Lyon Challenger and lost 6-4 4-6 6-3 in 02:01:10 . Federico Arnaboldi played Alexander Donski in the Q3 round at the Bergamo Challenger and lost 6-3 3-6 6-4 in 01:49:53.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Mochizuki Vs Arnaboldi

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Mochizuki has won 2 titles in his career, while Federico Arnaboldi has won 4 events. Mochizuki has won 50% (28410 of 56819) of points played in his entire career, and Arnaboldi has achieved 50% (21322 of 42552). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Mochizuki has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (66 of 115), whereas Federico Arnaboldi has won 53% (50 of 95). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Shintaro Mochizuki has an 83.32% probability of winning this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki vs Federico Arnaboldi Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Shintaro Mochizuki To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Shintaro Mochizuki has a 83.32% chance of winning and Federico Arnaboldi has a 16.68% chance of taking the victory. We tip Mochizuki to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Bergamo Challenger.







