Alex De Minaur and Jurij Rodionov Prediction Head To Head Summary

Minaur vs Rodionov Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Minaur has a 87.72% chance to win this match.
Minaur → 1.14. Rodionov → 7.74.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Minaur vs Rodionov Upcoming Match Details:
Minaur will play Rodionov on I.hard court in the First round at the ATP Erste Bank Open event in Vienna Men’s Singles 2025 on 20th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Minaur 0-1 Rodionov
The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Minaur comes into this match with a ranking of 7 , while Rodionov is ranked 154.
Minaur vs Rodionov Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Rodionov has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Minaur has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Rodionov has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Minaur has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Rodionov has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Minaur has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Rodionov performs best on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 109/65) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 39% (W/L 11/17). Minaur performs best on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/25), and performs worse on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 75/56).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Jurij Rodionov has converted 36% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Alex De Minaur has converted 26% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Alex De Minaur played Daniil Medvedev in the Quarterfinals at the Shanghai Rolex Masters – Shanghai and lost 6-4 6-4 in 01:53:43 . Jurij Rodionov played Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the Q1 round at the European Open – Brussels and lost 7-6(5) 6-4 in 01:39:07.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Minaur Vs Rodionov

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Minaur has won 14 titles in his career, while Jurij Rodionov has won 9 events. Minaur has won 52% (48406 of 93564) of points played in his entire career, and Rodionov has achieved 50% (38778 of 77533). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Minaur has won 56% of tie breaks in his entire career (128 of 229), whereas Jurij Rodionov has won 55% (114 of 208). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alex De Minaur has an 85.88% probability of winning this match.
Alex De Minaur vs Jurij Rodionov Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Alex De Minaur To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Alex De Minaur has a 85.88% chance of winning and Jurij Rodionov has a 14.12% chance of taking the victory. We tip Minaur to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Erste Bank Open – Vienna.
