Alex Michelsen vs Colton Smith Prediction &#8211; ATP Indian Wells &#8211; 9th March 2025 Best Bets

Alex Michelsen and Colton Smith Prediction Head To Head Summary

Michelsen vs Smith Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Michelsen has a 52.15% win this match.

Michelsen → 1.43. Smith → 3.02.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Michelsen vs Smith Upcoming Match Details:

Michelsen will play Smith on Hard court in the Second round at the ATP BNP Paribas Open event in Indian Wells Men’s Singles 2025 on 9th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Michelsen 0-0 Smith

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Michelsen comes into this match with a ranking of 32 , while Smith is ranked 261.

Michelsen vs Smith Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Smith has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Michelsen has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Smith has won 28% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Michelsen has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Smith has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Michelsen has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Surface prediction: Smith performs best on I.hard, winning 75% (W/L 18/6) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 29/10). Michelsen performs best on I.hard, winning 77% (W/L 34/10), and performs worse on Clay, winning 38% (W/L 8/13).
In play break point conversion prediction: Colton Smith has converted 28% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Alex Michelsen has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Alex Michelsen played Denis Shapovalov in the Second round at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco and lost 6-4 6-3 in 01:24:00 . Colton Smith played Flavio Cobolli in the First round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and won 3-6 6-2 6-2 in 01:51:38.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Michelsen Vs Smith Prediction Stats At BNP Paribas Open Day 7

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Alex Michelsen and Colton Smith

Of their last 10 matches played, Michelsen has won 6, while Smith has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Michelsen has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Smith has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Michelsen Vs Smith

Michelsen Vs Smith Prediction H2H & All BNP Paribas Open Day 7 Predictions

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Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Michelsen has won 4 titles in his career, while Colton Smith has won 2 events. Michelsen has won 52% (15778 of 30571) of points played in his entire career, and Smith has achieved 53% (4136 of 7795). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Michelsen has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (46 of 83), whereas Colton Smith has won 39% (9 of 23). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alex Michelsen has an 52.15% probability of winning this match.

Alex Michelsen vs Colton Smith Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Alex Michelsen To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Alex Michelsen has a 52.15% chance of winning and Colton Smith has a 47.85% chance of taking the victory. We tip Michelsen to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Alex Michelsen vs Colton Smith

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells, go here.