Elise Mertens vs Elina Svitolina Prediction – WTA Wimbledon – 4th July 2025 Best Bets

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Elise Mertens vs Elina Svitolina Prediction – WTA Wimbledon  – 4th July 2025 Best Bets

Elise Mertens and Elina Svitolina Prediction Head To Head Summary

Mertens Vs Svitolina H2H Summary Stats 4th July 2025

Mertens vs Svitolina Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Svitolina has a 57.47% chance to win this match.

Mertens → 2.25. Svitolina → 1.74.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Mertens vs Svitolina Upcoming Match Details:

Mertens will play Svitolina on Grass court in the Third round at the WTA Wimbledon event in London Women’s Singles 2025 on 4th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Mertens 3-5 Svitolina

The current Head to Head score is 3-5. Mertens comes into this match with a ranking of 23 , while Svitolina is ranked 13.

Mertens vs Svitolina Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

  • Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Svitolina has won 40% of points on his second serve, while Mertens has won 41% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
  • Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Svitolina has won 31% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Mertens has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 51% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
  • Performance under pressure prediction: Svitolina has been saving 47% of his breakpoints, and Mertens has saved 50% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Surface prediction: Svitolina performs best on Hard, winning 68% (W/L 292/138) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 54% (W/L 29/25). Mertens performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 272/142), and performs worse on Grass, winning 56% (W/L 41/32).
  • In play break point conversion prediction: Elina Svitolina has converted 35% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Elise Mertens has converted 31% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
  • Last match played: In the match before this one, Elise Mertens played Ann Li in the Second round at the Wimbledon – London and won 6-7(5) 6-1 6-2 in 02:07:00 . Elina Svitolina played Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Second round at the Wimbledon – London and won 6-2 6-4 in 01:21:00.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Mertens Vs Svitolina Prediction Stats At Wimbledon  Day 5

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Elise Mertens and Elina Svitolina

Of their last 10 matches played, Mertens has won 7, while Svitolina has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Grass in recent matches, Mertens has won 47% of her own 2nd serve points and 45% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 364.26 , while Svitolina has won 46% of her own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 295.2.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Mertens Vs Svitolina

Mertens Vs Svitolina Prediction H2H & All Wimbledon  Day 5 Predictions

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Mertens has won 21 titles in her career, while Elina Svitolina has won 26 events. Mertens has won 52% (41082 of 79207) of points played in her entire career, and Svitolina has achieved 52% (50939 of 98597). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Mertens has won 46% of tie breaks in his entire career (66 of 142), whereas Elina Svitolina has won 54% (109 of 201). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Elina Svitolina has an 50.32% probability of winning this match.

Elise Mertens vs Elina Svitolina Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Elina Svitolina To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Elise Mertens has a 49.68% chance of winning and Elina Svitolina has a 50.32% chance of taking the victory. We tip Svitolina to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Wimbledon – London, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Elise Mertens

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Elina Svitolina