Medvedev vs Alcaraz Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Alcaraz to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Alcaraz has won 58% of points on his second serve, while Medvedev has won 50% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Alcaraz has won 34% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Medvedev has won 32%. The same stats for second serve return points are 55% and 52% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Alcaraz has been saving 67% of his breakpoints, and Medvedev has saved 63% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Alcaraz has won 86% of matches played (W/L 31/5) with Medvedev winning 67% (W/L 24/12).
Surface prediction: Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 17/10). Medvedev performs best on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 244/77), and performs worse on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 88/48).
In play break point conversion prediction: Carlos Alcaraz has converted 43% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Daniil Medvedev has converted 47% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Daniil Medvedev played Flavio Cobolli in the Quarterfinals at the China Open – Beijing and won 6-2 6-4 in 01:28:29 . Carlos Alcaraz played Karen Khachanov in the Quarterfinals at the China Open – Beijing and won 7-5 6-2 in 01:36:13.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz
Of their last 10 matches played, Medvedev has won 7, while Alcaraz has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Medvedev has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points , while Alcaraz has won 60% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points.
Megan@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Medvedev Vs Alcaraz
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Medvedev has won 25 titles in his career, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 22 events. Medvedev has won 53% (52956 of 100639) of points played in his entire career, and Alcaraz has achieved 53% (28738 of 54115). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Medvedev has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (149 of 261), whereas Carlos Alcaraz has won 64% (93 of 145). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 56.73% probability of winning this match.
Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Daniil Medvedev has a 43.27% chance of winning and Carlos Alcaraz has a 56.73% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Medvedev vs Alcaraz
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz here.
To see the full prediction for Medvedev vs Alcaraz at China Open – Beijing, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com China Open Day 9 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the China Open – Beijing, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Carlos Alcaraz
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for ...
