Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Colton Smith Prediction – ATP Citi Open – 21st July 2025 Best Bets

Mackenzie Mcdonald and Colton Smith Prediction Head To Head Summary

Mcdonald vs Smith Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Mcdonald has a 69.93% chance to win this match.

Mcdonald → 1.43. Smith → 3.02.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Mcdonald vs Smith Upcoming Match Details:

Mcdonald will play Smith on Hard court in the First round at the ATP Citi Open event in Washington Men’s Singles 2025 on 21st July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Mcdonald 0-0 Smith

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Mcdonald comes into this match with a ranking of 95 , while Smith is ranked 139.

Mcdonald vs Smith Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Smith has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Mcdonald has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Smith has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Mcdonald has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Smith has been saving 52% of his breakpoints, and Mcdonald has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Smith performs best on I.hard, winning 75% (W/L 18/6) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 64% (W/L 9/5). Mcdonald performs best on Hard, winning 59% (W/L 215/151), and performs worse on Clay, winning 37% (W/L 23/39).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Colton Smith has converted 28% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Mackenzie Mcdonald has converted 34% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Mackenzie Mcdonald played Karen Khachanov in the First round at the Wimbledon – London and lost 7-5 6-4 6-4 . Colton Smith played Tyler Zink in the Q3 round at the Citi Open – Washington and won 4-6 6-4 6-3 in 02:23:33.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Mackenzie Mcdonald and Colton Smith

Of their last 10 matches played, Mcdonald has won 6, while Smith has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Mcdonald has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 180.83 , while Smith has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 324.59.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Mcdonald Vs Smith

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Mcdonald has won 7 titles in his career, while Colton Smith has won 2 events. Mcdonald has won 51% (41875 of 82372) of points played in his entire career, and Smith has achieved 52% (6144 of 11707). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Mcdonald has won 50% of tie breaks in his entire career (97 of 195), whereas Colton Smith has won 34% (10 of 29). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Mackenzie Mcdonald has an 53.82% probability of winning this match.

Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Colton Smith Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Mackenzie Mcdonald To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Mackenzie Mcdonald has a 53.82% chance of winning and Colton Smith has a 46.18% chance of taking the victory. We tip Mcdonald to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Citi Open – Washington, go here.