Mackenzie Mcdonald and Brandon Nakashima Prediction Head To Head Summary

Mcdonald vs Nakashima Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Nakashima has a 46.51% win this match.
Mcdonald → 2.15. Nakashima → 1.73.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Mcdonald vs Nakashima Upcoming Match Details:
Mcdonald will play Nakashima on Clay court in the Second round at the ATP US Men’s Clay Court Championship event in Houston Men’s Singles 2025 on 3rd April 2025.
Anhelina Kalinina
Nao Hibino
Mccartney Kessler
Fiona Ferro
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Liudmila Samsonova
Tatjana Maria
Ella Seidel
Sebastian Baez
Damir Dzumhur
Veronika Kudermetova
Diana Shnaider
Moyuka Uchijima
Kamilla Rakhimova
Karen Khachanov
Cameron Norrie
Caroline Garcia
Anna Blinkova
Maria Sakkari
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Elsa Jacquemot
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Margaux Rouvroy
Alize Cornet
Ugo Humbert
Nicolas Jarry
Mariano Navone
Felix Auger Aliassime
Jelena Ostapenko
Dayana Yastremska
Head-to-Head: Mcdonald 4-1 Nakashima
The current Head to Head score is 4-1. Mcdonald comes into this match with a ranking of 100 , while Nakashima is ranked 33.
Mcdonald vs Nakashima Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Nakashima has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Mcdonald has won 45% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Nakashima has won 21% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Mcdonald has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 40% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Nakashima has been saving 62% of his breakpoints, and Mcdonald has saved 50% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Nakashima performs best on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 58/26) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 52% (W/L 29/27). Mcdonald performs best on Hard, winning 59% (W/L 215/151), and performs worse on Clay, winning 40% (W/L 23/35).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Brandon Nakashima has converted 33% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Mackenzie Mcdonald has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Mackenzie Mcdonald played Daniel Elahi Galan in the First round at the US Men’s Clay Court Championship – Houston and won 6-2 6-7(3) 6-4 in 02:15:54 . Brandon Nakashima played Grigor Dimitrov in the Fourth round at the Miami Open – Miami and lost 6-4 7-5 in 01:23:30.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Mackenzie Mcdonald and Brandon Nakashima
Of their last 10 matches played, Mcdonald has won 7, while Nakashima has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Mcdonald has won 39% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points , while Nakashima has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Mcdonald Vs Nakashima

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Mcdonald has won 7 titles in his career, while Brandon Nakashima has won 7 events. Mcdonald has won 51% (40881 of 80356) of points played in his entire career, and Nakashima has achieved 52% (28874 of 55782). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Mcdonald has won 50% of tie breaks in his entire career (95 of 189), whereas Brandon Nakashima has won 55% (109 of 199). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Brandon Nakashima has an 57.48% probability of winning this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Brandon Nakashima Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Brandon Nakashima To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Mackenzie Mcdonald has a 42.52% chance of winning and Brandon Nakashima has a 57.48% chance of taking the victory. We tip Nakashima to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the US Men’s Clay Court Championship – Houston, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Mackenzie Mcdonald
- Mcdonald vs Tiafoe H2H (4-3) , could play in The Semifinals
- Mcdonald vs Walton H2H (1-1) , could play in The Semifinals
- Mcdonald vs Mannarino H2H (1-2) , could play in The Semifinals
- Mcdonald vs Michelsen H2H (0-2) , could play in The Semifinals
- Eubanks vs Mcdonald H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
- Nishikori vs Mcdonald H2H (2-2) , could play in The Quarterfinals
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Brandon Nakashima
- Nakashima vs Tiafoe H2H (1-5) , could play in The Semifinals
- Nakashima vs Walton H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
- Nakashima vs Mannarino H2H (1-2) , could play in The Semifinals
- Nakashima vs Michelsen H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
- Eubanks vs Nakashima H2H (2-4) , could play in The Quarterfinals
- Nishikori vs Nakashima H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals