Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction – ATP Indian Wells – 5th March 2025 Best Bets

Mackenzie Mcdonald and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction Head To Head Summary

Mcdonald vs Fokina Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Fokina has a 61.68% win this match.

Mcdonald → 2.57. Fokina → 1.55.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Mcdonald vs Fokina Upcoming Match Details:

Mcdonald will play Fokina on Hard court in the First round at the ATP BNP Paribas Open event in Indian Wells Men’s Singles 2025 on 5th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Mcdonald 0-3 Fokina

The current Head to Head score is 0-3. Mcdonald comes into this match with a ranking of 109 , while Fokina is ranked 39.

Mcdonald vs Fokina Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Fokina has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Mcdonald has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Fokina has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Mcdonald has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Fokina has been saving 49% of his breakpoints, and Mcdonald has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Fokina performs best on Hard, winning 61% (W/L 128/81) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 43% (W/L 10/13). Mcdonald performs best on Hard, winning 59% (W/L 212/149), and performs worse on Clay, winning 39% (W/L 22/35).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has converted 32% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Mackenzie Mcdonald has converted 24% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Mackenzie Mcdonald played Eliot Spizzirri in the Final at the San Diego Challenger and lost 6-4 2-6 6-4 in 02:07:44 . Alejandro Davidovich Fokina played Tomas Machac in the Final at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco and lost 7-6(6) 6-2 in 01:37:55.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Mackenzie Mcdonald and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Of their last 10 matches played, Mcdonald has won 7, while Fokina has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Mcdonald has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Fokina has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Mcdonald Vs Fokina

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Mcdonald has won 7 titles in his career, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 3 events. Mcdonald has won 51% (40388 of 79413) of points played in his entire career, and Fokina has achieved 51% (35028 of 68897). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Mcdonald has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (95 of 186), whereas Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 49% (82 of 169). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has an 61.68% probability of winning this match.

Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Mackenzie Mcdonald has a 38.32% chance of winning and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 61.68% chance of taking the victory. We tip Fokina to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Mackenzie Mcdonald

• Mcdonald vs Cerundolo H2H (0-2) , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

• Fokina vs Cerundolo H2H (0-1) , could play in The Second round