Machac vs Alcaraz Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Alcaraz to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Alcaraz has won 57% of points on his second serve, while Machac has won 50% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Alcaraz has won 34% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Machac has won 31%. The same stats for second serve return points are 56% and 53% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Alcaraz has been saving 65% of his breakpoints, and Machac has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Alcaraz has won 84% of matches played (W/L 31/6) with Machac winning 61% (W/L 17/11).
Surface prediction: Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/10). Machac performs best on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 84/37), and performs worse on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 6/6).
In play break point conversion prediction: Carlos Alcaraz has converted 44% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Tomas Machac has converted 49% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Tomas Machac played Jack Draper in the Fourth round at the U.S. Open – New York and lost 6-3 6-1 6-2 in 01:42:00 . Carlos Alcaraz played Botic Van De Zandschulp in the Second round at the U.S. Open – New York and lost 6-1 7-5 6-4 in 02:19:00.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Tomas Machac and Carlos Alcaraz
Of their last 10 matches played, Machac has won 4, while Alcaraz has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on I.hard . In recent matches, Machac has won 58% of his own 2nd serve points and 34% of return points , while Alcaraz has won 0% of his own 2nd serve points and 0% of return points.
Megan@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Machac Vs Alcaraz
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Machac has won 9 titles in his career, while Carlos Alcaraz has won 22 events. Machac has won 52% (26579 of 50855) of points played in his entire career, and Alcaraz has achieved 53% (28278 of 53302). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Machac has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (74 of 130), whereas Carlos Alcaraz has won 65% (93 of 144). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 78.99% probability of winning this match.
Tomas Machac vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Tomas Machac has a 21.01% chance of winning and Carlos Alcaraz has a 78.99% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Machac vs Alcaraz
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Tomas Machac vs Carlos Alcaraz here.
To see the full prediction for Machac vs Alcaraz at Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia Day 3 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for ...
