Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction – ATP – 11th March 2025 Best Bets

Aleksandar Kovacevic and Mattia Bellucci Prediction Head To Head Summary

Kovacevic vs Bellucci Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Bellucci has a 50.95% win this match.

Kovacevic → 1.86. Bellucci → 1.86.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Kovacevic vs Bellucci Upcoming Match Details:

Kovacevic will play Bellucci on Hard court in the First round at the ATP Cap Cana Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 11th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Kovacevic 1-0 Bellucci

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Kovacevic comes into this match with a ranking of 94 , while Bellucci is ranked 70.

Kovacevic vs Bellucci Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Bellucci has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Kovacevic has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Bellucci has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Kovacevic has won 20%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Bellucci has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Kovacevic has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Bellucci performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 135/67) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 56% (W/L 36/28). Kovacevic performs best on I.hard, winning 60% (W/L 53/35), and performs worse on Grass, winning 31% (W/L 4/9).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Mattia Bellucci has converted 26% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Aleksandar Kovacevic has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Aleksandar Kovacevic played Matteo Arnaldi in the First round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and lost 6-3 5-7 6-4 in 02:29:54 . Mattia Bellucci played Yosuke Watanuki in the Q1 round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and lost 6-1 6-2 in 01:20:17.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Aleksandar Kovacevic and Mattia Bellucci

Of their last 10 matches played, Kovacevic has won 6, while Bellucci has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Kovacevic has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 34% of return points , while Bellucci has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Kovacevic Vs Bellucci

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Kovacevic has won 5 titles in his career, while Mattia Bellucci has won 9 events. Kovacevic has won 50% (25372 of 50395) of points played in his entire career, and Bellucci has achieved 51% (24799 of 48437). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Kovacevic has won 48% of tie breaks in his entire career (89 of 184), whereas Mattia Bellucci has won 59% (74 of 126). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Mattia Bellucci has an 50.95% probability of winning this match.

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Mattia Bellucci Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Mattia Bellucci To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 49.05% chance of winning and Mattia Bellucci has a 50.95% chance of taking the victory. We tip Bellucci to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Mattia Bellucci

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Cap Cana Challenger, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Aleksandar Kovacevic

• Altmaier vs Kovacevic H2H (2-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Lajovic vs Kovacevic H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Goffin vs Kovacevic H2H (1-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Harris vs Kovacevic H2H (1-1) , could play in The Second round
• Wong vs Kovacevic H2H (0-0) , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Mattia Bellucci

• Altmaier vs Bellucci H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Lajovic vs Bellucci H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Goffin vs Bellucci H2H (1-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Harris vs Bellucci H2H (2-1) , could play in The Second round
• Wong vs Bellucci H2H (0-0) , could play in The Second round