Aleksandar Kovacevic and Matteo Arnaldi Prediction Head To Head Summary
Kovacevic vs Arnaldi Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Arnaldi has a 56.50% chance to win this match.
Kovacevic → 2.08. Arnaldi → 1.77.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Kovacevic vs Arnaldi Upcoming Match Details:
Kovacevic will play Arnaldi on I.hard court in the First round at the ATP Erste Bank Open event in Vienna Men’s Singles 2025 on 20th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Kovacevic 0-2 Arnaldi
The current Head to Head score is 0-2. Kovacevic comes into this match with a ranking of 65 , while Arnaldi is ranked 72.
Kovacevic vs Arnaldi Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Arnaldi has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Kovacevic has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Arnaldi has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Kovacevic has won 22%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Arnaldi has been saving 58% of his breakpoints, and Kovacevic has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Arnaldi performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 132/70) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 40% (W/L 17/26). Kovacevic performs best on I.hard, winning 61% (W/L 56/36), and performs worse on Grass, winning 28% (W/L 5/13).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Matteo Arnaldi has converted 25% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Aleksandar Kovacevic has converted 33% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Aleksandar Kovacevic played Mackenzie Mcdonald in the Q3 round at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and won 2-6 6-1 6-2 in 01:40:13 . Matteo Arnaldi played Tristan Schoolkate in the Q3 round at the Erste Bank Open – Vienna and won 7-6(5) 6-3 in 01:47:17.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Kovacevic Vs Arnaldi
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Kovacevic has won 6 titles in his career, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 6 events. Kovacevic has won 50% (28483 of 56706) of points played in his entire career, and Arnaldi has achieved 50% (27751 of 54969). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Kovacevic has won 49% of tie breaks in his entire career (98 of 201), whereas Matteo Arnaldi has won 58% (76 of 131). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Matteo Arnaldi has an 52.17% probability of winning this match.
Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Arnaldi Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Matteo Arnaldi To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 47.83% chance of winning and Matteo Arnaldi has a 52.17% chance of taking the victory. We tip Arnaldi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Erste Bank Open – Vienna.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Aleksandar Kovacevic
- Nakashima vs Kovacevic H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Darderi vs Kovacevic H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Griekspoor vs Kovacevic H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Khachanov vs Kovacevic H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Kovacevic vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Second round
- Kovacevic vs Fearnley H2H, could play in The Second round
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Matteo Arnaldi
- Nakashima vs Arnaldi H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Darderi vs Arnaldi H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Griekspoor vs Arnaldi H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Khachanov vs Arnaldi H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals
- Arnaldi vs Zverev H2H, could play in The Second round
- Arnaldi vs Fearnley H2H, could play in The Second round
