Jesper De Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Prediction – ATP U.S. Open – 18th August 2025 Best Bets

Jesper De Jong and Vilius Gaubas Prediction Head To Head Summary

Jong vs Gaubas Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Jong has a 77.52% chance to win this match.

Jong → 1.29. Gaubas → 3.87.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Jong vs Gaubas Upcoming Match Details:

Jong will play Gaubas on Hard court in the Q1 round at the ATP U.S. Open event in New York Men’s Singles 2025 on 18th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Jong 0-0 Gaubas

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Jong comes into this match with a ranking of 79 , while Gaubas is ranked 148.

Jong vs Gaubas Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Gaubas has won 46% of points on his second serve, while Jong has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Gaubas has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Jong has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Gaubas has been saving 52% of his breakpoints, and Jong has saved 55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Gaubas performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 136/79) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 29% (W/L 4/10). Jong performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 88/44), and performs worse on Grass, winning 33% (W/L 6/12).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Vilius Gaubas has converted 37% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jesper De Jong has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Jesper De Jong played Dalibor Svrcina in the Quarterfinals at the Cancun Challenger and lost 7-5 6-2 in 01:38:20 . Vilius Gaubas played Joel Schwaerzler in the Quarterfinals at the Bonn Challenger and lost 4-6 6-3 7-6(4) in 02:12:19.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Jesper De Jong and Vilius Gaubas

Of their last 10 matches played, Jong has won 7, while Gaubas has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Jong has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 326.65 , while Gaubas has won 43% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 427.27.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Jong Vs Gaubas

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Jong has won 7 titles in his career, while Vilius Gaubas has won 7 events. Jong has won 52% (32038 of 61805) of points played in his entire career, and Gaubas has achieved 51% (18016 of 35555). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Jong has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (80 of 157), whereas Vilius Gaubas has won 52% (38 of 73). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jesper De Jong has an 75.89% probability of winning this match.

Jesper De Jong vs Vilius Gaubas Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jesper De Jong To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jesper De Jong has a 75.89% chance of winning and Vilius Gaubas has a 24.11% chance of taking the victory. We tip Jong to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.