Jesper De Jong and Matteo Arnaldi Prediction Head To Head Summary
Jong vs Arnaldi Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Jong has a 53.48% chance to win this match.
Jong → 1.87. Arnaldi → 1.87.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Jong vs Arnaldi Upcoming Match Details:
Jong will play Arnaldi on I.hard court in the Q1 round at the ATP Erste Bank Open event in Vienna Men’s Singles 2025 on 18th October 2025.
Head-to-Head: Jong 1-2 Arnaldi
The current Head to Head score is 1-2. Jong comes into this match with a ranking of 82 , while Arnaldi is ranked 74.
Jong vs Arnaldi Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Arnaldi has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Jong has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Arnaldi has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Jong has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Arnaldi has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Jong has saved 58% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Arnaldi performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 132/70) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 37% (W/L 15/26). Jong performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 94/47), and performs worse on Grass, winning 33% (W/L 6/12).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Matteo Arnaldi has converted 25% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jesper De Jong has converted 35% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Jesper De Jong played Marton Fucsovics in the First round at the BNP Paribas Nordic Open – Stockholm and lost 6-1 6-2 in 01:06:48 . Matteo Arnaldi played Yannick Hanfmann in the First round at the European Open – Brussels and lost 6-7(4) 6-4 6-4 in 02:30:58.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Jong Vs Arnaldi
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Jong has won 8 titles in his career, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 6 events. Jong has won 52% (32917 of 63570) of points played in his entire career, and Arnaldi has achieved 50% (27587 of 54658). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Jong has won 52% of tie breaks in his entire career (85 of 165), whereas Matteo Arnaldi has won 57% (74 of 129). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jesper De Jong has an 63% probability of winning this match.
Jesper De Jong vs Matteo Arnaldi Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jesper De Jong To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jesper De Jong has a 63% chance of winning and Matteo Arnaldi has a 37% chance of taking the victory. We tip Jong to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Erste Bank Open – Vienna.
