Francesca Jones vs Arianne Hartono Prediction – WTA U.S. Open – 22nd August 2025 Best Bets

Francesca Jones and Arianne Hartono Prediction Head To Head Summary

Jones vs Hartono Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Jones has a 76.92% chance to win this match.

Jones → 1.3. Hartono → 3.75.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Jones vs Hartono Upcoming Match Details:

Jones will play Hartono on Hard court in the Q3 round at the WTA U.S. Open event in New York Women’s Singles 2025 on 22nd August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Jones 1-0 Hartono

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Jones comes into this match with a ranking of 86 , while Hartono is ranked 187.

Jones vs Hartono Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Hartono has won 40% of points on his second serve, while Jones has won 38% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Hartono has won 30% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Jones has won 31%. The same stats for second serve return points are 51% and 54% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Hartono has been saving 50% of his breakpoints, and Jones has saved 48% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Hartono performs best on Hard, winning 60% (W/L 158/107) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 35% (W/L 7/13). Jones performs best on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 192/80), and performs worse on Grass, winning 24% (W/L 4/13).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Arianne Hartono has converted 45% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Francesca Jones has converted 37% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Francesca Jones played Ekaterine Gorgodze in the Q2 round at the U.S. Open – New York and won 6-1 7-6(11) in 01:45:00 . Arianne Hartono played Olivia Gadecki in the Q2 round at the U.S. Open – New York and won 6-4 4-6 6-4 in 02:19:00.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Francesca Jones and Arianne Hartono

Of their last 10 matches played, Jones has won 9, while Hartono has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Jones has won 50% of her own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 141.33 , while Hartono has won 46% of her own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 253.41.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Jones Vs Hartono

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Jones has won 11 titles in her career, while Arianne Hartono has won 3 events. Jones has won 52% (24406 of 46971) of points played in her entire career, and Hartono has achieved 51% (30374 of 59758). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Jones has won 72% of tie breaks in his entire career (55 of 76), whereas Arianne Hartono has won 48% (46 of 95). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Francesca Jones has an 57.96% probability of winning this match.

Francesca Jones vs Arianne Hartono Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Francesca Jones To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Francesca Jones has a 57.96% chance of winning and Arianne Hartono has a 42.04% chance of taking the victory. We tip Jones to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.