Nicolas Jarry vs Joao Fonseca Prediction – ATP Wimbledon – 4th July 2025 Best Bets

Nicolas Jarry and Joao Fonseca Prediction Head To Head Summary

Jarry vs Fonseca Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Jarry has a 60.61% chance to win this match.

Jarry → 2.29. Fonseca → 1.65.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Jarry vs Fonseca Upcoming Match Details:

Jarry will play Fonseca on Grass court in the Third round at the ATP Wimbledon event in London Men’s Singles 2025 on 4th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Jarry 0-0 Fonseca

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Jarry comes into this match with a ranking of 143 , while Fonseca is ranked 54.

Jarry vs Fonseca Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Fonseca has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Jarry has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Fonseca has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Jarry has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 42% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Fonseca has been saving 60% of his breakpoints, and Jarry has saved 67% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Fonseca performs best on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 26/8) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 45% (W/L 5/6). Jarry performs best on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 301/171), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 34% (W/L 11/21).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Joao Fonseca has converted 27% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Nicolas Jarry has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Nicolas Jarry played Learner Tien in the Second round at the Wimbledon – London and won 6-2 6-2 6-3 in 01:38:00 . Joao Fonseca played Jenson Brooksby in the Second round at the Wimbledon – London and won 6-4 5-7 6-2 6-4 in 03:13:00.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Nicolas Jarry and Joao Fonseca

Of their last 10 matches played, Jarry has won 7, while Fonseca has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Grass in recent matches, Jarry has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 34% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 328.7 , while Fonseca has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 115.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Jarry Vs Fonseca

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Jarry has won 18 titles in his career, while Joao Fonseca has won 5 events. Jarry has won 51% (47026 of 92005) of points played in his entire career, and Fonseca has achieved 51% (9816 of 19082). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Jarry has won 52% of tie breaks in his entire career (193 of 370), whereas Joao Fonseca has won 60% (34 of 57). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Nicolas Jarry has an 51.51% probability of winning this match.

Nicolas Jarry vs Joao Fonseca Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Nicolas Jarry To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Nicolas Jarry has a 51.51% chance of winning and Joao Fonseca has a 48.49% chance of taking the victory. We tip Jarry to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Wimbledon – London, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Nicolas Jarry

• Jarry vs Alcaraz H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Jarry vs Struff H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Jarry vs Mannarino H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Jarry vs Rublev H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Jarry vs Norrie H2H () , could play in The Fourth round
• Jarry vs Bellucci H2H () , could play in The Fourth round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Joao Fonseca

• Fonseca vs Alcaraz H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Fonseca vs Struff H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Fonseca vs Mannarino H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Fonseca vs Rublev H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Fonseca vs Norrie H2H (undefined), could play in The Fourth round
• Fonseca vs Bellucci H2H (undefined), could play in The Fourth round