Nicolas Jarry vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction – ATP Santiago – 24th February 2025 Best Bets

Nicolas Jarry and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction Head To Head Summary

Jarry vs Carabelli Upcoming Match Details:

Jarry will play Carabelli on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Movistar Chile Open event in Santiago Men’s Singles 2025 on 24th February 2025.

Head-to-Head: Jarry 4-1 Carabelli

The current Head to Head score is 4-1. Jarry comes into this match with a ranking of 47 , while Carabelli is ranked 91.

Jarry vs Carabelli Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Carabelli has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Jarry has won 50% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Carabelli has won 36% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Jarry has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 55% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Carabelli has been saving 62% of his breakpoints, and Jarry has saved 65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Overall performance: In recent matches Carabelli has won 72% of matches played (W/L 31/12) with Jarry winning 35% (W/L 6/11).
• Surface prediction: Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 325/174) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/2). Jarry performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 297/162), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 34% (W/L 11/21).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 48% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Nicolas Jarry has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Nicolas Jarry played Francisco Comesana in the Second round at the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro and lost 7-6(4) 6-7(1) 7-6(6) in 03:14:05 . Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Sebastian Baez in the Semifinals at the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro and lost 3-6 6-1 6-1 in 01:45:06.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Nicolas Jarry and Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Of their last 10 matches played, Jarry has won 4, while Carabelli has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Jarry has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 34% of return points , while Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Jarry Vs Carabelli

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Jarry has won 18 titles in his career, while Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 12 events. Jarry has won 51% (44942 of 87901) of points played in his entire career, and Carabelli has achieved 51% (37640 of 73097). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Jarry has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (189 of 358), whereas Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 55% (77 of 139). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Nicolas Jarry has an 51.8% probability of winning this match.

Nicolas Jarry vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Nicolas Jarry To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Nicolas Jarry has a 51.8% chance of winning and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 48.2% chance of taking the victory. We tip Jarry to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Nicolas Jarry vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Movistar Chile Open – Santiago, go here.