Hugo Gaston vs Damir Dzumhur Prediction – ATP Nordea Open – 17th July 2025 Best Bets

Hugo Gaston and Damir Dzumhur Prediction Head To Head Summary

Gaston vs Dzumhur Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Gaston has a 53.48% chance to win this match.

Gaston → 1.93. Dzumhur → 1.87.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Gaston vs Dzumhur Upcoming Match Details:

Gaston will play Dzumhur on Clay court in the Second round at the ATP Nordea Open event in Bastad Men’s Singles 2025 on 17th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Gaston 0-0 Dzumhur

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Gaston comes into this match with a ranking of 91 , while Dzumhur is ranked 70.

Gaston vs Dzumhur Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Dzumhur has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Gaston has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Dzumhur has won 32% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Gaston has won 26%. The same stats for second serve return points are 44% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Dzumhur has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Gaston has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Dzumhur performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 319/188) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 44% (W/L 16/20). Gaston performs best on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 137/91), and performs worse on Grass, winning 41% (W/L 7/10).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Damir Dzumhur has converted 34% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Hugo Gaston has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Hugo Gaston played Chun Hsin Tseng in the First round at the Nordea Open – Bastad and won 6-4 6-3 in 01:18:36 . Damir Dzumhur played Sebastian Ofner in the First round at the Nordea Open – Bastad and won 6-4 6-4 in 01:27:30.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Hugo Gaston and Damir Dzumhur

Of their last 10 matches played, Gaston has won 3, while Dzumhur has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Gaston has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 152.85 , while Dzumhur has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 330.94.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Gaston Vs Dzumhur

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Gaston has won 8 titles in his career, while Damir Dzumhur has won 35 events. Gaston has won 50% (31988 of 63697) of points played in his entire career, and Dzumhur has achieved 51% (60587 of 119595). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Gaston has won 58% of tie breaks in his entire career (88 of 152), whereas Damir Dzumhur has won 51% (142 of 281). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Hugo Gaston has an 50.29% probability of winning this match.

Hugo Gaston vs Damir Dzumhur Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Hugo Gaston To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Hugo Gaston has a 50.29% chance of winning and Damir Dzumhur has a 49.71% chance of taking the victory. We tip Gaston to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Nordea Open – Bastad, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Hugo Gaston

• Navone vs Gaston H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Cerundolo vs Gaston H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Damir Dzumhur

• Navone vs Dzumhur H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Cerundolo vs Dzumhur H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals